NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f00d75a17741e1514ee76fb019c2848faab04c873ae016c79ae86bdf2b25232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $937,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $868,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pistons | 53c | 79,121$42,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,129.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Warriors | 47c | 68,739$32,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,660.32 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Pistons | 10c | 52,959$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.29 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 0c | 44,683$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Warriors | 47c | 40,876$19,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.2 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Warriors | 50c | 31,465$15,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,804.38 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 67c | 24,601$16,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,015.22 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Pistons | 19c | 22,100$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,154.23 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Pistons | 34c | 20,000$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.63 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Pistons | 43c | 19,517$8,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,489.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Pistons | 38c | 19,056$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,237.51 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Pistons | 15c | 18,206$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.04 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 45c | 11,132$5,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,122.86 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pistons | 44c | 11,000$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons | 52c | 9,302$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.79 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Pistons | 51c | 7,458$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 6c | 6,819$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 30c | 6,477$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.84 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Pistons | 24c | 5,777$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.86 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons | 52c | 5,671$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.26 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Pistons | 6c | 5,664$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.44 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Pistons | 54c | 5,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Warriors | 54c | 5,262$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.97 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Pistons | 22c | 5,143$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.08 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Pistons | 56c | 4,890$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pistons | 2c | 4,790$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 50c | 4,674$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Warriors | 76c | 4,328$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 50c | 4,301$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.62 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 55c | 4,163$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.9 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Warriors | 79c | 4,103$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.94 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Warriors | 67c | 4,031$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.53 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Warriors | 46c | 4,009$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Warriors | 76c | 3,936$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.71 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Warriors | 61c | 3,821$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.25 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Pistons | 58c | 3,466$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Pistons | 55c | 3,457$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…045fbacked Warriors | 46c | 3,259$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…dee9backed Pistons | 54c | 3,258$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Pistons | 0c | 3,152$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Warriors | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pistons | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 51c | 2,933$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.25 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pistons | 55c | 2,861$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.81 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pistons | 22c | 2,746$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.22 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 12c | 2,703$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.36 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 55c | 2,693$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.3 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 52c | 2,568$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.6 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 53c | 2,537$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.85 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons | 23c | 2,505$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.11 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Pistons | 58c | 2,310$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Warriors | 43c | 2,309$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Warriors | 44c | 2,295$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Pistons | 57c | 2,272$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pistons | 9c | 2,229$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 55c | 2,037$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.44 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Pistons | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pistons | 46c | 1,968$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.7 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pistons | 42c | 1,960$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.47 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Warriors | 77c | 1,933$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…c351backed Pistons | 3c | 1,890$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 78c | 1,782$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.5 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,743$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.52 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.21 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Pistons | 50c | 1,599$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Pistons | 41c | 1,586$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.89 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Warriors | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.96 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons | 58c | 1,499$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,480$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Pistons | 44c | 1,365$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.53 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,362$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 63c | 1,349$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.32 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons | 6c | 1,320$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pistons | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…5669backed Pistons | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Pistons | 58c | 1,142$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,139$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Warriors | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,136$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.51 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Pistons | 35c | 1,130$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Pistons | 57c | 1,104$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.15 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Warriors | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 64c | 1,096$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Warriors | 46c | 1,012$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Pistons | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Pistons | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed Pistons | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pistons | 58c | 996.29$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.85 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons | 50c | 993.93$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.3 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pistons | 51c | 959.07$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 43c | 918$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Pistons | 56c | 893.75$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Warriors | 45c | 885.79$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.23 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.