NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13187190d2abcb6490110cefdfbfebc44a5459609e7cb7b859bca10236938ce7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $890,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Lakers | 44c | 78,354$34,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,902.07 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Nuggets | 71c | 62,151$44,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,127.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Lakers | 79c | 61,810$48,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,178.26 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 52c | 34,469$17,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,877.09 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Lakers | 60c | 32,076$19,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,732.53 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 65c | 31,089$20,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,208.03 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nuggets | 69c | 30,806$21,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,382.22 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…d159backed Nuggets | 46c | 27,579$12,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,551.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 29c | 22,742$6,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,088.02 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Nuggets | 14c | 15,890$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.13 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,650 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Nuggets | 69c | 14,346$9,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,835.93 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed Lakers | 67c | 12,388$8,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Nuggets | 39c | 11,071$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.53 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Lakers | 63c | 9,566$6,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.52 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Nuggets | 70c | 7,108$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -10.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 32c | 7,033$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lakers | 29c | 6,738$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.03 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 78c | 6,308$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.09 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 2c | 6,220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 30c | 6,218$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.58 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 31c | 6,100$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Lakers | 29c | 6,069$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.97 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4d76backed Lakers | 32c | 5,500$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Lakers | 53c | 4,772$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.07 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 1c | 4,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Lakers | 71c | 4,080$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.28 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 68c | 4,000$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.62 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 18c | 3,971$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Lakers | 31c | 3,845$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.16 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Lakers | 32c | 3,752$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.03 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Lakers | 31c | 3,750$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Nuggets | 38c | 3,699$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.83 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 3,345$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.89 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets | 69c | 3,150$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.48 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.88 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nuggets | 38c | 2,434$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.92 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Nuggets | 54c | 2,322$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Nuggets | 70c | 2,085$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.81 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nuggets | 69c | 2,055$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.27 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Nuggets | 25c | 2,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 28c | 2,007$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.75 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lakers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Nuggets | 40c | 1,974$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.11 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,913$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.82 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Lakers | 31c | 1,884$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Lakers | 76c | 1,800$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,713$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.08 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 45c | 1,699$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…57efbacked Lakers | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,560$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.58 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets | 64c | 1,544$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lakers | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Lakers | 45c | 1,444$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.44 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,434$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.73 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…f347backed Lakers | 32c | 1,427$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 1,372$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.37 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,370$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.23 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lakers | 30c | 1,312$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.95 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 32c | 1,300$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Lakers | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Nuggets | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,228$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 71c | 1,200$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.01 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lakers | 62c | 1,185$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.42 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…dd9bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,181$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.85 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.65 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557b…3d48backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,110$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Lakers | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.47 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 38c | 1,059$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,051$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Lakers | 31c | 1,048$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.99 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Nuggets | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…e005backed Nuggets | 57c | 1,006$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…e29bbacked Lakers | 43c | 1,006$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…1373backed Lakers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…3c80backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Lakers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…87cabacked Lakers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…77b7backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 986.95$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.48 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…bfb2backed Lakers | 50c | 986.95$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Lakers | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…91c8backed Nuggets | 69c | 954.41$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Lakers | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Lakers | 51c | 919.33$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lakers | 47c | 909$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.12 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1dfcbacked Lakers | 32c | 900$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…7e99backed Nuggets | 68c | 900$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Lakers | 63c | 900$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…89a9backed Lakers | 32c | 900$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.