NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede80b63bffb230d925e8e90fe0dba61084094ca56001c586693c3f4e3b454a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Kraken, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 70c | 5,578$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.45 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lightning | 66c | 3,857$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.43 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kraken | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kraken | 33c | 3,197$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.49 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kraken | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Kraken | 30c | 2,108$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.51 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.7 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kraken | 19c | 1,956$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken | 29c | 1,608$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.42 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 68c | 902.38$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Lightning | 72c | 856.93$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 70c | 854.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 70c | 847.37$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Lightning | 69c | 799.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 80c | 797.24$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Kraken | 35c | 710.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 15c | 623.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Lightning | 70c | 534.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Kraken | 30c | 446.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 70c | 428$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 71c | 425$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lightning | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Kraken | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 70c | 333$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 31c | 304.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kraken | 33c | 302.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Kraken | 31c | 226.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…7a64backed Lightning | 70c | 211.9$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Kraken | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Kraken | 31c | 169.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Kraken | 31c | 162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 68c | 156.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 70c | 137$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lightning | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 24c | 103.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…ea51backed Kraken | 33c | 103.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Kraken | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Lightning | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Kraken | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525f…d16ebacked Kraken | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Kraken | 31c | 97.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Kraken | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…ac63backed Lightning | 70c | 74.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…00bebacked Kraken | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Kraken | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Kraken | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…f36dbacked Kraken | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Kraken | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed Lightning | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 71c | 63.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…233cbacked Kraken | 31c | 63.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…ff89backed Lightning | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x148b…5a6dbacked Kraken | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…e736backed Kraken | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 31c | 54.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…cca3backed Kraken | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…d88cbacked Lightning | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…6cfebacked Kraken | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…f9afbacked Kraken | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…6617backed Kraken | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Lightning | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Lightning | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…ed4abacked Lightning | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…d04fbacked Lightning | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Kraken | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Kraken | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…db11backed Kraken | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…01edbacked Kraken | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ffe9backed Kraken | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…46c5backed Kraken | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Kraken | 30c | 38.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Lightning | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…7f0abacked Lightning | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lightning | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lightning | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lightning | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f58ebacked Lightning | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…9b91backed Lightning | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.