TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$684,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x549f…c945backed Jazz55c68,528$37,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,935.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b5…d159backed Rockets80c59,067$47,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,247.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Rockets60c47,463$28,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,281.322049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Jazz32c41,307$13,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,176.0312540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jazz42c39,582$16,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,921.9747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rockets35c33,380$11,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,737.4634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Rockets15c28,434$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.643426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Jazz24c16,043$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,195.9411834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz25c13,430$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,072.2220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Jazz26c13,236$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,794.938521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Rockets1c12,435$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5911719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rockets77c11,492$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,798.9670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rockets68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,80029738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Jazz23c8,336$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,391.468337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz24c7,862$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.646131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz23c7,419$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.3733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets76c6,203$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.421,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Rockets74c5,920$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.6817546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets76c5,834$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,422.6747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz26c5,832$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.3925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz26c5,769$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.238343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets74c5,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7007860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets78c4,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,51049849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz70c4,151$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.21,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…721bbacked Jazz75c3,758$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.522245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets64c3,367$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.0961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Jazz22c2,936$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.368434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Rockets30c2,925$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.23713.5%5 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Jazz20c2,828$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.4431935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets75c2,608$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.3596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rockets76c2,481$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.825845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Rockets74c2,436$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.4619145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Jazz25c2,070$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.0950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jazz25c2,007$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.2330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.971,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets74c1,901$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz24c1,850$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Jazz29c1,743$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.6527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bf…e441backed Jazz26c1,538$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.461145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz23c1,530$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.736434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rockets76c1,524$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0663555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Rockets68c1,463$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets66c1,406$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…6063backed Rockets71c1,326$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz17c1,306$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.191,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz23c1,250$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.530826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Rockets77c1,204$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.4962349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Jazz25c1,201$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Rockets76c1,200$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9121233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6932…e4a7backed Rockets64c1,170$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.772445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.8526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets68c1,111$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.9268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Rockets77c1,095$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.419838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c2…3efebacked Rockets27c1,095$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.33231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz27c1,087$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.5177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x761a…0e8ebacked Rockets72c1,077$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.791428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca1…d8dbbacked Rockets74c1,026$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz23c1,000$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets39c1,000$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.930443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Rockets62c996.03$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.076747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Jazz30c994.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.775347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d9…4ad1backed Jazz24c950$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Rockets9c925.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.288122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz27c900$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…91c8backed Rockets75c884$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7d…5151backed Jazz27c859.26$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.261060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets72c820$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Jazz29c813.48$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.5727546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets2c801$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz24c801$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.7619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz23c801$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.771,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Rockets75c800$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockets2c750$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked Jazz26c730.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz27c730.63$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz28c711.58$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.7837011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets76c684.42$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.1657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Jazz43c659.32$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3625016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd4…c31cbacked Rockets75c657.05$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4981…5176backed Rockets75c640$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b2…2408backed Rockets17c635.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5d…67a4backed Jazz26c630.77$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.771457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz47c610.86$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.441,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz27c604.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Rockets76c561.98$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.17150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fa4…5c2abacked Jazz27c544.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+74.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Rockets52c533.85$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9410345.6%47 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Jazz28c510$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36845647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36d…2627backed Rockets67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3662…d445backed Jazz33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3352661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz43c499.26$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Jazz23c492$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8413638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Jazz28c477.1$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.334721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz21c468.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1827631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz20c455.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1945135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz24c443.33$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.3338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Jazz24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.674936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.