MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ecde0ba20ca4f2f4cddccd383a65905a17843771a338cbcc84c2f59f6637bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 37c | 30,514$11,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,236.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Brewers | 63c | 17,145$10,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,801.35 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a7a0backed Pirates | 37c | 9,997$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,298.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067c…bfd4backed Brewers | 63c | 9,996$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…d794backed Pirates | 36c | 9,002$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Brewers | 46c | 8,745$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 58c | 7,869$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.74 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 58c | 6,557$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.36 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 40c | 5,801$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 62c | 5,800$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 56c | 5,773$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 34c | 5,615$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 39c | 5,348$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.45 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 39c | 5,126$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.77 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Pirates | 53c | 4,273$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.23 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 61c | 3,800$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 27c | 3,764$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.49 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…9ab5backed Brewers | 64c | 3,740$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…5a1ebacked Brewers | 64c | 3,686$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Pirates | 74c | 3,602$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.02 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 61c | 3,309$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.78 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Brewers | 60c | 3,100$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 37c | 3,011$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.16 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.82 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 40c | 2,738$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers | 55c | 2,500$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 38c | 2,420$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.11 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers | 36c | 2,398$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.29 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Brewers | 63c | 2,261$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.76 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Pirates | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 43c | 1,950$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 35c | 1,859$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.4 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 38c | 1,666$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.44 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…2361backed Brewers | 64c | 1,572$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers | 65c | 1,554$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.1 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 62c | 1,500$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers | 6c | 1,300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,300$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 17c | 1,258$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 61c | 1,175$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.6 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Brewers | 33c | 1,174$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Brewers | 48c | 1,160$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 62c | 1,055$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 39c | 1,021$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.92 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Brewers | 65c | 683.62$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Brewers | 44c | 654.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 62c | 649.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pirates | 51c | 613.82$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 40c | 574$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 50c | 531.4$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Brewers | 62c | 500.05$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…970bbacked Brewers | 65c | 479.86$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers | 63c | 479.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Pirates | 75c | 417.35$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Brewers | 61c | 400.14$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 38c | 358.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Brewers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Pirates | 36c | 322.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Brewers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pirates | 64c | 314.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Brewers | 38c | 306.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Brewers | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Brewers | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 44c | 289.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 14c | 271$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Pirates | 43c | 260.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Pirates | 71c | 246.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Brewers | 62c | 245.26$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 14c | 242.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 62c | 238$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Brewers | 62c | 237.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 63c | 222.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 63c | 202.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pirates | 53c | 202.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 36c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 64c | 199.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 35c | 199.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Pirates | 69c | 189.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Brewers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 37c | 149$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Pirates | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 21c | 142.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.