TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Kings, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b9…2227backed Kings58c5,450$3,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaade…afc8backed Red Wings42c2,850$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f1…caf5backed Red Wings42c2,600$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd89f…1d11backed Red Wings36c2,075$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2821…a869backed Red Wings43c2,004$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked Kings56c2,003$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kings65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30018237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings61c1,907$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.773,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed Kings57c1,801$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.572245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Red Wings26c1,800$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3329747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Kings58c1,739$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Red Wings44c1,720$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.192763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings74c1,663$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.9285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Red Wings41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405a…6382backed Red Wings43c1,087$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.74875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1738…5456backed Kings57c1,087$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,072$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Red Wings42c894.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.0913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa63d…7c74backed Kings57c843.95$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e8…6022backed Red Wings43c843.95$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fee…39efbacked Kings59c837.29$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0afb…74fabacked Red Wings44c837.1$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Kings55c831.6$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c5…d103backed Red Wings43c801.82$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c1…5369backed Kings57c801.82$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings73c759.17$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.181,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings42c715.91$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.2379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings41c694.67$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Kings50c545.2$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.63743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings57c503.17$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings56c412.2$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.831,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b5…e9a2backed Red Wings44c402.05$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Kings30c363$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.97532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9110147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3317…957abacked Red Wings44c340.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f4…a015backed Red Wings44c340.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9df…b508backed Red Wings44c340.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+180.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Red Wings42c338$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.048932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56b8…2ee0backed Red Wings43c328.48$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…8210backed Kings57c328.48$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings58c300$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.911,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings56c299.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.996642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Kings60c290.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.83438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Kings57c263.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.972347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…2318backed Kings57c263.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda18…5f61backed Kings57c263.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Kings57c262.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.628536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Red Wings41c253.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.585450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Kings68c249.88$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Red Wings44c247.73$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.734641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings44c227.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.428542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…9a10backed Kings58c223.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Red Wings45c223.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3322246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings42c179$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings41c171.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kings61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.772448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Red Wings33c164.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.59553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x291f…dc62backed Red Wings44c162.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.171546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Red Wings43c159.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x885a…0b49backed Red Wings43c150.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.781070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…1a6ebacked Red Wings43c148.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings59c130$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.713361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6d…72eabacked Red Wings44c129.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…e4a4backed Red Wings45c129.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d4…dc09backed Red Wings44c126.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Red Wings42c123.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.812650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f6…d17dbacked Red Wings43c122.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.682045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fd…b794backed Red Wings44c122.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b6…d6b1backed Red Wings43c122.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe66…0b48backed Kings58c121.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b15…0bf3backed Red Wings45c121.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Kings58c121.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.271637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa32c…b85ebacked Kings57c121.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7034…8d31backed Kings58c120.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.37714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-70.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x561d…3b09backed Kings57c118.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8280%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x696a…5391backed Red Wings45c118.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89ad…e46fbacked Kings58c118.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Kings58c117.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Kings58c116.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Red Wings43c116.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.412433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac38…8668backed Red Wings44c115.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Kings58c115.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.141650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0227…750bbacked Red Wings43c115.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.811225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c59…bda5backed Red Wings45c115.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…4684backed Kings57c114.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Red Wings44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.647062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07b0…380ebacked Red Wings44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a7…3bcbbacked Kings58c111.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8160%0 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x801d…a8f0backed Red Wings45c111.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032b…89b8backed Kings58c110.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.371553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Kings58c110.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb590…36babacked Kings57c110.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Red Wings44c109.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Kings57c109.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Kings58c108.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a72…9be0backed Red Wings45c108.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850c…672ebacked Kings59c108.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.