Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01450d5f158d9387a5ce30666e1d667a92b5ee6da9e63a889d54e537bc6bab0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4634…9222backed Yes | 72c | 95,000$68,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e564backed No | 28c | 95,000$26,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…986cbacked No | 29c | 53,000$15,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,630 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…003abacked Yes | 71c | 52,990$37,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,622.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 26c | 49,425$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,627.72 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 73c | 31,744$23,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,148.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 30c | 28,800$8,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,252.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 71c | 16,034$11,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,394.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 1c | 10,052$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked Yes | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 10,000$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,337.48 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 23c | 9,248$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,120.17 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 36c | 4,501$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.43 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…4920backed No | 28c | 4,485$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 77c | 4,329$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 25c | 4,163$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.93 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Yes | 72c | 4,130$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Yes | 76c | 3,750$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 76c | 3,057$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 51c | 3,006$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.95 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.91 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 24c | 2,776$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.15 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 70c | 2,696$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 28c | 2,460$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.92 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dfd0backed Yes | 70c | 2,336$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 29c | 2,156$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…f6e7backed Yes | 70c | 2,152$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.05 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 71c | 1,820$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked No | 29c | 1,720$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 31c | 1,717$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 29c | 1,643$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.53 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…9476backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 69c | 1,466$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.29 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Yes | 71c | 1,416$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.98 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,199$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,195$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 28c | 1,101$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.72 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed No | 29c | 1,097$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 28c | 1,076$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.45 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,039$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 1,002$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.96 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,001$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.87 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 75c | 935.49$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.59 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…0ed5backed Yes | 70c | 883.79$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…b3e3backed Yes | 70c | 878.91$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 20c | 874.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 77c | 849.35$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Yes | 72c | 829.69$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…9114backed No | 30c | 820$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked No | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 71c | 755.87$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 76c | 658.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +258.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked No | 30c | 637.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 599.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…6b56backed Yes | 70c | 557.04$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 73c | 508.33$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Yes | 76c | 500.97$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 33c | 484.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.86 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed No | 29c | 482.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…43ecbacked Yes | 70c | 467.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…43c1backed Yes | 76c | 446.14$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed No | 12c | 415.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 72c | 360.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 72c | 330.56$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…6c04backed Yes | 72c | 297$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked No | 29c | 290.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 28c | 280.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked No | 29c | 273$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…df44backed No | 29c | 272.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 72c | 268.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 70c | 265.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked No | 29c | 264.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked No | 29c | 238$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 34c | 237.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ca31backed No | 35c | 234.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 22c | 231.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x921e…5acbbacked No | 29c | 230.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +306.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 28c | 225.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…963dbacked No | 34c | 224.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…d965backed No | 29c | 218.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 77c | 215.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…baa8backed No | 29c | 215.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…251dbacked Yes | 76c | 210.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…a959backed Yes | 72c | 191.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.