Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea973f2509864d250e76d9419b668ccccaaa224c12158596afe225726013bd1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 9c | 25,939$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 6c | 24,672$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.36 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yes | 12c | 7,917$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 12c | 6,480$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 6,100$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 10c | 5,432$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 10c | 3,098$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.83 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 2,635$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.15 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 11c | 2,418$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -9.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 12c | 1,618$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,250$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 4c | 809.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes | 11c | 731.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 34cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 622.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…29eebacked Yes | 11c | 607.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…4458backed Yes | 12c | 566.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 12c | 550$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 5c | 495.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Yes | 11c | 449.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6c…119fbacked Yes | 26c | 386.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 14c | 357$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 12c | 346.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…b137backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Yes | 12c | 224.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 10c | 187.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 10c | 181.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 12c | 166.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 137.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…2d3ebacked Yes | 12c | 133.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…30a6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.