Champions League · resolved market
Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d3ac0ee7d5cc5151b184f502516575f60d35343c3d3b7301ff3d09372b4534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 16c | 20,584$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,290.46 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 3c | 12,750$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 48c | 8,451$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.55 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked Yes | 16c | 3,325$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 3,197$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.87 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 17c | 2,157$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.79 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 2,063$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.38 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 74c | 2,042$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.37 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes | 60c | 1,970$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 63c | 1,890$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.25 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yes | 14c | 1,469$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.55 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 16c | 1,228$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 1,171$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 69c | 1,166$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 18c | 1,026$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.99 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…f927backed Yes | 20c | 810.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed No | 80c | 810.77$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Yes | 24c | 701.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1e28backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 57c | 426.58$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 80c | 407.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…18fcbacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…aa84backed Yes | 19c | 391.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…8383backed Yes | 20c | 390$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 18c | 361.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.77 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 80c | 346.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Yes | 19c | 308.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…1f86backed Yes | 20c | 245$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e72…0deebacked No | 80c | 204$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 17c | 190.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 17c | 189.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…e546backed Yes | 62c | 154$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6c…119fbacked Yes | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…2d72backed Yes | 24c | 125.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 20c | 113.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 18c | 99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…7b25backed Yes | 64c | 80.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…5080backed Yes | 72c | 80.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed No | 45c | 78.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +148.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 65c | 77.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Yes | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…07abbacked No | 80c | 64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…de44backed No | 80c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…e432backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe526…6d8ebacked Yes | 67c | 59.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…f8aebacked No | 80c | 59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 76c | 48.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 68c | 43.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Yes | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 61c | 35.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b50abacked Yes | 65c | 33.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Yes | 57c | 32.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…3a11backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…9a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 31.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…dbdfbacked No | 80c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cda…0f40backed Yes | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…fed3backed Yes | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…be3fbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…12c3backed Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 75cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…6defbacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…07b5backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18?No won
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.