NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55bd733fb3bf832ef66990bdf18275874fd2d4301f24173a43953e90784e191c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pacers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,820,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,977,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,820,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2137…0677backed Pacers | 0c | 673,766$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.77 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers | 18c | 357,620$66,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,084.29 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers | 18c | 334,946$60,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,290.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 18c | 276,860$49,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,592.54 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Pacers | 18c | 259,877$46,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,777.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 3c | 188,480$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.55 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Pacers | 1c | 182,714$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.75 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers | 18c | 180,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,400 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers | 15c | 158,871$23,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,088.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Pacers | 19c | 141,239$26,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,159 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers | 1c | 140,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pacers | 17c | 84,103$14,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,297.53 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Pacers | 3c | 79,366$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Pacers | 0c | 72,123$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Pacers | 18c | 66,652$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,997.44 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers | 18c | 57,000$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,259.99 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Pacers | 17c | 50,204$8,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,536.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Pacers | 11c | 46,361$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,061.3 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Pacers | 4c | 45,000$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.89 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7e…1e9abacked Pacers | 0c | 43,111$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 20c | 40,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de2…e6c9backed Pacers | 18c | 38,889$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Pacers | 1c | 38,725$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Pacers | 10c | 35,079$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.58 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 19c | 21,579$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 20,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…daa6backed Pacers | 1c | 20,400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Pacers | 25c | 20,379$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.91 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Pacers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Pacers | 0c | 19,763$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers | 2c | 18,314$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…7ca4backed Pacers | 13c | 18,156$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 78c | 18,000$14,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.96 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 18c | 17,962$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Pacers | 14c | 17,873$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 17c | 17,000$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Pacers | 18c | 16,700$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 5c | 16,401$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Pacers | 0c | 16,146$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 17c | 14,999$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.65 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Pacers | 19c | 14,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pacers | 7c | 13,973$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.14 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pacers | 2c | 13,039$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Pacers | 3c | 12,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.62 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Pacers | 18c | 11,944$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers | 2c | 11,200$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Pacers | 1c | 11,138$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc0…61fbbacked Pacers | 17c | 11,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Pacers | 15c | 10,926$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Pacers | 18c | 10,813$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.35 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Pacers | 0c | 10,762$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 8c | 10,200$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 20c | 10,050$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 0c | 10,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Pacers | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Pacers | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers | 18c | 9,171$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.78 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Pacers | 6c | 8,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5beb…e69fbacked Pacers | 2c | 8,256$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Pacers | 3c | 7,945$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Pacers | 18c | 7,763$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Pacers | 15c | 7,744$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.01 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Pacers | 3c | 7,688$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…a516backed Pacers | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Pacers | 11c | 7,102$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Pacers | 18c | 6,980$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Pacers | 6c | 6,878$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pacers | 10c | 6,878$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Pacers | 19c | 6,768$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers | 16c | 6,722$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 18c | 6,666$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.86 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers | 23c | 6,578$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Pacers | 19c | 6,477$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f969backed Pacers | 2c | 6,256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…0259backed Pacers | 19c | 5,996$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1960…83c1backed Pacers | 1c | 5,810$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Pacers | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…ca7cbacked Pacers | 1c | 5,555$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Pacers | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pacers | 19c | 5,421$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Pacers | 18c | 5,001$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers | 20c | 5,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Pacers | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 16c | 4,930$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.26 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Pacers | 14c | 4,580$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.83 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…7743backed Pacers | 6c | 4,539$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 4c | 4,437$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…f190backed Pacers | 8c | 4,382$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 16c | 4,274$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.1 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thunder | 79c | 4,261$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.85 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 17c | 4,126$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.48 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Pacers | 14c | 3,801$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Pacers | 11c | 3,600$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…d128backed Pacers | 8c | 3,427$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…3cc4backed Pacers | 3c | 3,141$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 1c | 3,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…b9a2backed Pacers | 1c | 3,061$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Pacers | 18c | 3,041$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Pacers | 16c | 3,010$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunderthis page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.