TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Pacers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,820,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,977,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,820,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2137…0677backed Pacers0c673,766$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.778219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers18c357,620$66,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,084.2928341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers18c334,946$60,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,290.242147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers18c276,860$49,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,592.5414434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Pacers18c259,877$46,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,777.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Pacers3c188,480$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.5546426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Pacers1c182,714$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.754062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers18c180,000$32,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,40016537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers15c158,871$23,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,088.831233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Pacers19c141,239$26,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,159922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers1c140,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8309946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pacers17c84,103$14,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,297.5328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed Pacers3c79,366$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.3850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Pacers0c72,123$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.377051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Pacers18c66,652$11,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,997.444025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers18c57,000$10,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,259.998259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Pacers17c50,204$8,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,536.68190%0 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Pacers11c46,361$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.31978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Pacers4c45,000$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.892714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-70.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7e…1e9abacked Pacers0c43,111$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers20c40,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de2…e6c9backed Pacers18c38,889$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Pacers1c38,725$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.045536.4%20 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Pacers10c35,079$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.585942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers19c21,579$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers1c20,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…daa6backed Pacers1c20,400$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Pacers25c20,379$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.911822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed Pacers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Pacers0c19,763$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Pacers2c18,314$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.187929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445b…7ca4backed Pacers13c18,156$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,358.44425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder78c18,000$14,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.964032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers18c17,962$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.095349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e38…eb70backed Pacers14c17,873$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.12205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers17c17,000$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Pacers18c16,700$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0065250%26 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers5c16,401$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Pacers0c16,146$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.57623.7%18 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers17c14,999$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,612.652,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Pacers19c14,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66018536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Pacers7c13,973$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.1428838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Pacers2c13,039$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25671823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed Pacers3c12,000$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.624434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Pacers18c11,944$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1505337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers2c11,200$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.264517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Pacers1c11,138$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.259935.4%35 W · 64 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc0…61fbbacked Pacers17c11,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe94…7bb6backed Pacers15c10,926$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Pacers18c10,813$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.3510244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Pacers0c10,762$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+96.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers8c10,200$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers20c10,050$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers0c10,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.894573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Pacers0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Pacers0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers18c9,171$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.7818518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Pacers6c8,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.922039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5beb…e69fbacked Pacers2c8,256$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Pacers3c7,945$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.375121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+76.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Pacers18c7,763$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.34825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Pacers15c7,744$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.0134852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Pacers3c7,688$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6825%2 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+107.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x126b…a516backed Pacers0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Pacers11c7,102$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.4230%0 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Pacers18c6,980$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.394136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…9a73backed Pacers6c6,878$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid+37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Pacers10c6,878$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67317335.8%62 W · 111 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd32…33c4backed Pacers19c6,768$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.831225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers16c6,722$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers18c6,666$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8613636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers23c6,578$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5138536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7502…beafbacked Pacers19c6,477$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0e…f969backed Pacers2c6,256$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.944922.4%11 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbd…0259backed Pacers19c5,996$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.283345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1960…83c1backed Pacers1c5,810$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.631827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Pacers18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c2…ca7cbacked Pacers1c5,555$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Pacers19c5,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0452133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Pacers19c5,421$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0307445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Pacers18c5,001$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Pacers20c5,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Pacers19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers16c4,930$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.2637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Pacers14c4,580$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.83219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd44…7743backed Pacers6c4,539$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.32825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers4c4,437$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40c…f190backed Pacers8c4,382$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.97825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers16c4,274$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.11,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Thunder79c4,261$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.8533746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers17c4,126$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.481,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d7…774ebacked Pacers14c3,801$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.125839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Pacers11c3,600$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.396841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x440d…d128backed Pacers8c3,427$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Pacers3c3,141$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9611340.7%46 W · 67 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c3,100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef2…b9a2backed Pacers1c3,061$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Pacers18c3,041$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Pacers16c3,010$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4709131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.