TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Cubs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Brewers42c359,964$150,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,988.4916643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Cubs58c108,700$63,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,567.1135854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs61c105,605$64,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,281.6586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Cubs58c34,567$20,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,518.1417351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs58c31,246$18,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,123.3941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Cubs58c27,536$15,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,565.1815353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs58c15,203$8,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.461,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cubs48c12,380$5,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs57c8,091$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.821,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers41c7,444$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,052.0498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs58c6,650$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.052,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs49c5,492$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.9354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Cubs59c4,860$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.64776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers18c4,451$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs58c4,200$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7641,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs58c3,015$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.341643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Cubs59c2,754$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.247758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs37c2,715$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.72,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs53c2,522$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.1865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Brewers42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs59c2,085$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.8520850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs37c1,512$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.351,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs58c1,501$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.4176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cubs58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Brewers52c1,219$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.0618748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30025550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…55a0backed Brewers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202623.1%6 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41043654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Brewers41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Brewers4c799.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Brewers30c762.8$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.256132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs59c665.99$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0631346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Brewers41c648$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Cubs59c641.23$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1711746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cubs58c606.57$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.315,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs58c559.14$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x194f…8dbcbacked Cubs66c535.62$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Cubs47c462.3$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0219239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Cubs60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6718247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc076…3303backed Cubs42c415.44$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.263243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Cubs37c353.75$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.191,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cubs60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…3488backed Brewers62c319.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.822828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Cubs47c302.43$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8642955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs59c299.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12313555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Brewers40c293.55$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Brewers42c273.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157042.9%30 W · 40 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs69c260$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Cubs39c258.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.971637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cubs44c239$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.816,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Brewers42c237.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9556351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs62c214.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cubs59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Brewers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8220954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cubs79c195.31$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cubs50c192.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4952542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe0…9f03backed Brewers12c173.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Brewers41c171.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4219742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cubs80c168$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers42c167.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs40c163.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3138743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Brewers25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Cubs40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Brewers41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.520851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9e…ca58backed Cubs59c146.88$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.223551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs57c129.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8949450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cubs58c121.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f91abacked Brewers42c119.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.153336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x090f…f5aabacked Brewers42c117.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers52c115.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Brewers60c115$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Brewers58c112.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1219650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbb…487dbacked Cubs59c111.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6703…24a6backed Brewers42c110.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.243534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3133…5b73backed Cubs59c103.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.243351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Brewers33c100.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.392,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Brewers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Brewers41c98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1814146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba95…7534backed Cubs59c96.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.623056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers42c91.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Cubs58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.824250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs59c89.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.892,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…59a7backed Brewers42c83.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.273548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Brewers50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e7d…7158backed Brewers42c74.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.383740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Brewers42c71.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers42c68.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9295…04f3backed Brewers42c64.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.913348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Cubs53c62.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Brewers42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0412451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Cubs59c61.02$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0229552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Cubs58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3474356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f4…9b46backed Cubs59c58.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.041844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.