TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Grizzlies, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb4…5821backed Rockets60c150,000$90,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5d…ca64backed Grizzlies40c150,000$60,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Rockets45c11,242$5,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,173.3630954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc066…672dbacked Grizzlies45c10,015$4,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,506.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d56…c0d8backed Rockets55c10,011$5,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies41c8,866$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.5637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies47c6,996$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.0349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets61c6,557$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.3815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Grizzlies44c6,478$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.359557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies50c5,960$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.9965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets21c5,580$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.081,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockets66c4,988$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.381,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Grizzlies70c4,883$3,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,438.723237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets30c4,703$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.1327041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets58c4,355$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets45c4,075$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.423,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Rockets13c3,846$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Grizzlies51c3,774$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.6917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Rockets19c3,695$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets13c3,511$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.341,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61b…4049backed Grizzlies78c3,238$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.541369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies56c3,035$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.2561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Rockets50c3,001$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies60c2,787$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.0111164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies54c2,536$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Grizzlies39c2,428$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.99952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies39c2,200$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Rockets12c2,109$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.3425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Grizzlies49c2,062$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa37a…c252backed Grizzlies46c1,999$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.813762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Rockets27c1,929$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.2361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets36c1,667$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.711,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Grizzlies2c1,650$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.15616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Grizzlies77c1,647$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.964463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Grizzlies42c1,598$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.0175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3c…11d0backed Grizzlies43c1,574$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.821540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb183…0badbacked Grizzlies68c1,540$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rockets40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbc…a70dbacked Rockets59c1,458$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Grizzlies43c1,458$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.7514129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x116b…3d32backed Grizzlies77c1,450$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.68862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7095…b7b9backed Grizzlies53c1,405$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.571384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Grizzlies42c1,400$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58815947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Grizzlies43c1,400$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Grizzlies56c1,314$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.639035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8dd…afcabacked Grizzlies49c1,309$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.913762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Grizzlies41c1,274$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Rockets60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1035…cc97backed Grizzlies73c1,182$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.441662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets50c1,149$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3550453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies79c1,104$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.141,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets57c1,052$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5310541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d2…6b91backed Grizzlies63c1,012$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.57955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Grizzlies52c1,000$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.093284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x656c…7f2dbacked Rockets59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+157.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0aac…46a0backed Rockets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…27e8backed Grizzlies39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Rockets57c877.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.144254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Rockets56c854.11$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1112759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets56c843.89$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Rockets57c843.86$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8612659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1c…a897backed Rockets57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Grizzlies39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31215237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bc…8946backed Grizzlies44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…30c4backed Grizzlies41c780.49$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies47c757.4$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.1150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockets16c699.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.4947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rockets23c668$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.738132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Rockets41c644$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies43c642$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies42c608.05$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Rockets56c600.06$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.034344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets56c600$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9730251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Grizzlies42c600$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24916341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Grizzlies42c576$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.147948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Grizzlies46c526.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies9c521.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.861,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Grizzlies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20526235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Rockets59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets48c500$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.741,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Rockets56c471.43$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.095267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets56c467.81$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed01…9bb9backed Rockets32c464.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.52454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Rockets55c449.92$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.925052%26 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Rockets24c443.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.749827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…6dbabacked Rockets60c435$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+90.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies48c425.65$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.241,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbd…efd1backed Rockets55c424.24$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.913348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Grizzlies39c416.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9513920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies40c401.7$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.681,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Grizzlies43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Rockets48c397.95$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Grizzlies46c391.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Rockets50c383.97$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9812657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Rockets48c377.19$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.199451.1%48 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Rockets59c367.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3714941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.