MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62a18534b7d09fd38caf2a8093c8bb264b45040bc5eda1ae21b8f0e17bdd980f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 37c | 15,246$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.61 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 62c | 13,513$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,377.94 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 7c | 10,977$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.39 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Padres | 7c | 10,565$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.52 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…bec8backed Padres | 61c | 9,998$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…af15backed Nationals | 39c | 9,998$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,098.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 6c | 8,737$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.94 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 28c | 7,972$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…0d4ebacked Nationals | 38c | 5,428$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 25c | 4,988$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Nationals | 37c | 4,310$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.3 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 12c | 4,149$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 37c | 3,827$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.1 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Nationals | 37c | 3,626$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.38 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 12c | 3,360$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 63c | 2,857$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Nationals | 37c | 2,694$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.25 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Padres | 61c | 2,564$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.11 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Padres | 5c | 2,271$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Nationals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Nationals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,615$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 61c | 1,555$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.55 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 1c | 1,497$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 60c | 1,489$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Padres | 22c | 1,374$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Padres | 69c | 1,324$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.76 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 1c | 1,315$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Padres | 61c | 1,304$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.06 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 1c | 1,197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Padres | 9c | 1,096$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 3c | 1,084$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Padres | 20c | 1,059$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.89 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 7c | 1,009$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 38c | 999.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Padres | 63c | 984.13$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Nationals | 38c | 959.41$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Padres | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Padres | 19c | 906.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 57c | 892.1$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.15 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 39c | 875.8$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.59 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 37c | 841.86$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 20c | 799.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Padres | 68c | 762.12$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Padres | 27c | 747.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Padres | 63c | 679.37$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Padres | 9c | 642.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 69c | 600.74$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Nationals | 71c | 587.22$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 14c | 508$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Padres | 62c | 482.26$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Padres | 44c | 448.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 3c | 430.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Padres | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Nationals | 38c | 386$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 62c | 383.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 38c | 376.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Padres | 24c | 368.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 38c | 347.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…1678backed Padres | 65c | 347.11$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 42c | 333$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Padres | 16c | 307.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 299.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 38c | 283.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nationals | 36c | 262.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.84 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…f9bdbacked Padres | 62c | 255.71$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Padres | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Padres | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Padres | 61c | 203.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…7166backed Nationals | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 39c | 200.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.26 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 60c | 198.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 59c | 195.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…555fbacked Nationals | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e7a0backed Padres | 28c | 179.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…6810backed Nationals | 37c | 178.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…7fa3backed Padres | 63c | 163.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…2c25backed Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…eeb9backed Nationals | 37c | 156.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nationals | 38c | 155$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 55c | 151.06$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Padres | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…07f7backed Nationals | 37c | 148.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Padres | 9c | 142.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Nationals | 37c | 141.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 38c | 131$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69e…848bbacked Nationals | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Nationals | 39c | 121.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…92b8backed Padres | 63c | 120.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.