Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ebf1ac837cb206b3a0c64ab165fe9f09bb0490f740cf52320bb2742f8a59eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b78…683bbacked No | 71c | 102,252$72,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,653.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…36b0backed Yes | 29c | 102,230$29,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,646.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 31c | 50,254$15,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,472.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 70c | 19,814$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.06 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 9c | 11,281$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 72c | 7,672$5,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.32 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 29c | 6,534$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 74c | 5,940$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.46 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,565$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 30c | 4,120$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 3,866$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.99 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 23c | 2,682$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 2,588$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.31 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 73c | 2,060$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.89 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 2,054$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.05 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 29c | 1,822$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.49 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 1,804$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.01 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…9d7dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,211$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,099$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 30c | 1,097$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,019$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…1502backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Yes | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 3c | 966.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…2221backed Yes | 26c | 948$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 784.47$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 21c | 717.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 30c | 674.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 31c | 474.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 28c | 448.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 73c | 410.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 28c | 408.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 26c | 385.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…705bbacked Yes | 26c | 381.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes | 6c | 340.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 336.08$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe59…6fb4backed Yes | 27c | 327.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 8c | 294.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…0205backed Yes | 28c | 288.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 27c | 287.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 11c | 284$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 74c | 271.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…d482backed Yes | 26c | 226.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed Yes | 28c | 223.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 25c | 215.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 212$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 73c | 201.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…7f8dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…252abacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 73c | 199.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 26c | 190.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 29c | 184.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…1daabacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Yes | 6c | 170.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 15c | 168.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed No | 75c | 148.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 30c | 147.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 12c | 140.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 15c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9dbacked Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Yes | 26c | 122.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed No | 73c | 100.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…9313backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 29c | 99.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 27c | 98.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 15c | 98.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 26c | 91.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1fe8backed No | 75c | 90.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 27c | 80.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb606…80f6backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ef0dbacked Yes | 26c | 75.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…96cfbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-19?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.