TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Rockies, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox72c67,673$48,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,005.2760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies28c40,557$11,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,356.0810844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies28c27,800$7,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,78421740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies28c15,669$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.3614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox72c13,835$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.4313553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4714…a983backed Red Sox69c9,998$6,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f04…2149backed Rockies31c9,998$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Red Sox72c9,167$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox72c8,669$6,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.3226355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies26c7,863$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.481,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rockies28c7,189$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.87343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies28c5,525$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.771,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies30c4,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9638249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed Red Sox70c3,936$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rockies29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7d…430cbacked Red Sox74c2,921$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.461376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox69c2,648$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.711,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox74c2,533$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.969,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies28c2,349$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.3397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Rockies28c2,102$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.627554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies29c2,076$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.511,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies26c1,938$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7649650.2%249 W · 247 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox73c1,823$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.417927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox72c1,779$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2733845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies29c1,684$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.135,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies28c1,383$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.231,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies28c1,380$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.338949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Red Sox73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Red Sox74c1,355$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.822157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…cad9backed Red Sox72c1,349$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.59988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a2…a62dbacked Red Sox72c1,261$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Rockies29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Red Sox72c960$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox70c800$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Red Sox67c800$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2646450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies29c782$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0623752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Red Sox71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.55666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Red Sox68c735.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.391,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies32c691.22$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1943247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Rockies33c629.26$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Rockies28c625$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6415642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies4c612.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.768762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Red Sox72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.568360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e5…a94fbacked Rockies28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox69c484.06$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies30c416$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Red Sox72c409.03$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.533259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies31c405.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox70c379.15$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Red Sox72c354.17$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.174374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Rockies28c348.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.614148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockies31c330$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.111,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4085…bb3fbacked Red Sox76c307.82$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Rockies27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8195950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies30c299.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockies17c297.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Red Sox70c286.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.732040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox70c286.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.412,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ef…dfd1backed Red Sox74c271.7$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.75759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Red Sox74c261$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.867164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox70c251.33$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.412,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c9…7853backed Red Sox72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.52564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Red Sox72c235$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.816157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Red Sox68c229.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4526949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Sox70c228.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3334164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab1…7784backed Red Sox73c215$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Rockies5c210.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.484610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies14c208.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox70c202$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.62,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6217139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Rockies28c195.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6419449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…21d6backed Red Sox73c195$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1761…f864backed Rockies29c194.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockies28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies30c162.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.571,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies30c160.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Red Sox69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9331356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies30c142$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.626642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Red Sox72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Red Sox72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8911145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Sox72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Red Sox72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Red Sox72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.896154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Red Sox74c135.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.395763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x232e…b1eebacked Red Sox74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Red Sox76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Rockies29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Red Sox71c111.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Red Sox69c109.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.915945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed Red Sox73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.