MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a42d91c028814be899292a8a00ce4fd089637d3cea85bb76338f303d2cbdf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 60c | 120,209$71,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,575.82 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 40c | 42,921$17,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,752.79 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 59c | 35,697$20,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,971.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Athletics | 41c | 21,483$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,674.97 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Athletics | 40c | 16,666$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Athletics | 41c | 14,634$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,634.15 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.98 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 41c | 6,827$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.93 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 58c | 6,666$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Athletics | 41c | 5,811$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.21 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Athletics | 42c | 5,032$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cardinals | 58c | 3,741$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.52 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 2,502$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,404$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.28 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 41c | 2,359$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 42c | 2,190$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Cardinals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.04 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 63c | 1,923$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cardinals | 27c | 1,881$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…21a2backed Cardinals | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,820$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.46 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 42c | 1,601$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4628backed Athletics | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e0d4backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,420$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,282$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Athletics | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.99 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…9e57backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,073$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Athletics | 44c | 1,055$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…5d1dbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,027$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…cd74backed Athletics | 44c | 965$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 42c | 931$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 41c | 860.83$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Athletics | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 41c | 772.33$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.87 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 53c | 753$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 43c | 739.91$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.89 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Athletics | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 41c | 668.08$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.57 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics | 61c | 655.39$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 42c | 632.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Athletics | 43c | 589.41$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.21 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 41c | 588.66$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 3c | 580$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 41c | 561.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.18 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Athletics | 43c | 551.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.31 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Athletics | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…14adbacked Athletics | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Athletics | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Athletics | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 44c | 355$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Cardinals | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…eb60backed Athletics | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Athletics | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Athletics | 43c | 297.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Athletics | 59c | 276$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 42c | 264.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Cardinals | 59c | 254.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 62c | 251.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 44c | 236.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 43c | 225$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 42c | 204$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Athletics | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Athletics | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 42c | 199.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Athletics | 42c | 190.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Athletics | 72c | 179.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Athletics | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Athletics | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Cardinals | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Athletics | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…2d20backed Athletics | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Athletics | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 41c | 109.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Athletics | 38c | 106$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Athletics | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked Athletics | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…4067backed Athletics | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…4a7abacked Cardinals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Athletics | 42c | 95.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 63c | 92.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Cardinals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…f01ebacked Cardinals | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cardinals | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 68c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Athletics | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed Cardinals | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.