NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f46a8d68de77948fff3fad16caf202e68954bc73fb5ffb022fd26e12b9e9c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $496,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…1f1dbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 87,964$65,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,990.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked Knicks | 25c | 87,800$21,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 65,839$48,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,764.7 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 0c | 49,916$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers | 78c | 39,660$31,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.99 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks | 28c | 38,756$10,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,839.7 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Knicks | 0c | 25,301$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 70c | 22,380$15,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,713.87 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Knicks | 27c | 22,104$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.09 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 26c | 19,929$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.42 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Knicks | 27c | 15,118$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.75 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 11,799$8,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.63 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks | 28c | 8,973$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.54 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Knicks | 4c | 8,521$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Knicks | 28c | 8,341$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.35 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 20c | 7,634$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.89 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 26c | 6,273$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.74 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 75c | 6,003$4,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.17 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 28c | 5,005$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.19 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Knicks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Knicks | 1c | 4,938$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 12c | 4,221$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.28 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Knicks | 30c | 3,994$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Knicks | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 19c | 3,799$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Knicks | 30c | 3,300$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Knicks | 1c | 3,146$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Knicks | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavaliers | 77c | 2,852$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.69 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 7c | 2,636$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cavaliers | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Knicks | 25c | 2,539$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Knicks | 5c | 2,344$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Knicks | 1c | 2,307$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Knicks | 26c | 2,303$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.74 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Knicks | 19c | 2,199$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.69 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 2,056$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.85 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,999$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.47 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,452$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.7 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 28c | 1,379$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.17 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks | 28c | 1,318$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…e4a4backed Knicks | 25c | 1,250$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Knicks | 25c | 1,198$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Knicks | 24c | 1,197$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Knicks | 25c | 1,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks | 27c | 1,112$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 4c | 1,090$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…46e8backed Knicks | 24c | 1,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Knicks | 25c | 1,044$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Knicks | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.9 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Knicks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Knicks | 25c | 999.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Knicks | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fc8backed Knicks | 26c | 789.3$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Knicks | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Knicks | 28c | 752.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.65 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…ceb3backed Knicks | 27c | 744.05$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Cavaliers | 75c | 736.17$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Cavaliers | 75c | 728.72$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Knicks | 29c | 717.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…aae4backed Knicks | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Knicks | 26c | 692.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Knicks | 18c | 666$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cavaliers | 75c | 650.67$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 641.3$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…78fcbacked Knicks | 32c | 622.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…91c8backed Cavaliers | 75c | 611.16$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks | 27c | 604.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Knicks | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Knicks | 11c | 600$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Knicks | 25c | 596.72$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…e441backed Knicks | 26c | 596.15$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Knicks | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Knicks | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 74c | 515.13$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 75c | 510$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Knicks | 25c | 500.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…69e7backed Knicks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…865bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…fd65backed Knicks | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Knicks | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 27c | 499.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Knicks | 25c | 480.62$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 27c | 430$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 18c | 428.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…7652backed Cavaliers | 72c | 405.58$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Knicks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Knicks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Knicks | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Knicks | 30c | 389.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Knicks | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Knicks | 15c | 329.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.