MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6195c2980264e46206192ad76028f06f7c608a4ba6f1a9b637a777ac9ef0efb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Orioles, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 37c | 60,028$21,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,960.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 63c | 40,000$25,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 36c | 12,742$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.69 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 64c | 12,703$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.05 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Rangers | 64c | 9,816$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 63c | 9,015$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Rangers | 71c | 7,592$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.74 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 34c | 5,285$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 63c | 4,926$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Orioles | 22c | 4,760$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.53 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rangers | 63c | 4,178$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rangers | 64c | 3,400$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…c889backed Rangers | 63c | 3,379$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 70c | 3,366$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rangers | 77c | 2,800$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 36c | 2,476$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,384$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 36c | 2,225$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rangers | 63c | 2,137$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.69 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers | 62c | 2,100$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 36c | 2,100$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 38c | 2,092$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.89 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 1c | 2,063$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 36c | 2,014$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.05 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 36c | 2,003$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.13 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 73c | 1,948$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.12 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Orioles | 38c | 1,793$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Orioles | 22c | 1,778$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 17c | 1,721$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Orioles | 10c | 1,626$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 19c | 1,520$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,512$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.84 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 65c | 1,494$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.75 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Orioles | 15c | 1,448$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Orioles | 32c | 1,359$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 2c | 1,289$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Rangers | 63c | 1,250$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Orioles | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Orioles | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 9c | 872.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rangers | 64c | 800.68$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.23 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 17c | 794.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Orioles | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rangers | 63c | 690.54$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Rangers | 63c | 677.66$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…3e67backed Orioles | 3c | 622.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rangers | 62c | 597.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Orioles | 25c | 547.69$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 67c | 517$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Orioles | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rangers | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 37c | 459.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Rangers | 64c | 425$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Rangers | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rangers | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 71c | 363.79$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rangers | 75c | 336$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 36c | 295$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 65c | 270$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Orioles | 33c | 222.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 8c | 218.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 30c | 196.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rangers | 63c | 193.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Orioles | 36c | 178.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Orioles | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Rangers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Rangers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Rangers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 16c | 153.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Orioles | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Rangers | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…d413backed Orioles | 38c | 136.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Orioles | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 20c | 129.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 25c | 126.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Orioles | 33c | 116.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Orioles | 33c | 116.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fe…4c6abacked Rangers | 63c | 107.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 21c | 105.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Orioles | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Orioles | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a1a1backed Orioles | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rangers | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 16c | 98.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Orioles | 33c | 96.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.