TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof 76ers, Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers7c22,857$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.643,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked 76ers0c19,800$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked 76ers16c19,656$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.0336247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked 76ers7c14,306$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.6629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed 76ers8c14,211$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.558337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers14c10,305$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.661,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers15c7,238$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers14c7,235$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4346928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers13c7,159$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.8865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed 76ers16c7,100$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed 76ers9c6,056$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.0861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked 76ers15c4,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers2c3,950$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf414…cd58backed 76ers15c2,575$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.611353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed 76ers5c2,295$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers15c2,227$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed 76ers6c2,048$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.853745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers13c2,034$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.236423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c2,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers13c1,923$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers12c1,895$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.391,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked 76ers16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30062351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers14c1,540$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked 76ers17c1,400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed 76ers10c1,400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.511249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers2c1,353$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.191,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers5c1,324$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed 76ers13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed 76ers9c1,123$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.531926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…f741backed 76ers15c1,075$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.192920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked 76ers14c1,069$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.615916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed 76ers4c1,050$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb645…4845backed 76ers13c1,003$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers8c1,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed 76ers13c999.97$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa273…7786backed 76ers11c924.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers14c872.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed 76ers12c790.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked 76ers7c744$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked 76ers14c698.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7c…8dc3backed 76ers7c647.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers15c604.6$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers12c600$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…4b93backed 76ers14c500.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 76ers14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed 76ers6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f1e…7164backed 76ers14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59c6…b2a4backed 76ers14c492.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked 76ers17c491.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.54632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers15c470.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked 76ers14c466.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2736514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed 76ers14c464.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…c4f9backed 76ers14c407.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers12c406.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce3…2d61backed 76ers4c404.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked 76ers11c396.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3514438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers14c360$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed 76ers14c356.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.428540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers12c349$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed 76ers9c342.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked 76ers15c303.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers11c300.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.121,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 76ers15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4571747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed 76ers7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215028%14 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e47…925ebacked 76ers9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd213…cd36backed 76ers13c285.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked 76ers14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27fd…c47fbacked 76ers13c226.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…a6f2backed 76ers5c208.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-62.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed 76ers13c208$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked 76ers13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked 76ers14c199.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9913611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5fa…22adbacked 76ers14c185.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19a…ebafbacked 76ers14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6199…1f61backed 76ers14c171.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed 76ers14c171.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers7c165$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa895…4935backed 76ers15c159.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.443759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…50e1backed 76ers13c152.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013557%77 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5dd8backed 76ers12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed 76ers14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5622…6ac0backed 76ers16c148.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed 76ers17c146.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8315341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked 76ers14c142.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f4e…2a3abacked 76ers14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012045.8%55 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed 76ers14c142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8815538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked 76ers10c133.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed 76ers13c130.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.033250%16 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee87…09adbacked 76ers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013052.3%68 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…9a20backed 76ers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80e4…9f33backed 76ers13c122.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+71.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…f095backed 76ers16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…21d7backed 76ers14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.450%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed 76ers14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426124.1%63 W · 198 L+1.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed 76ers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4606…9344backed 76ers14c99.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.