NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13044f50c2db7f4b70525119241096da76daaf3e8aef2436449cb8b0fd376cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Trail Blazers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 99,998$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 43,617$11,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,928.26 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Lakers | 70c | 40,961$28,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,323.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 29,617$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062.21 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 18,214$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,282.15 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Lakers | 71c | 15,206$10,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 71c | 14,755$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.88 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 13,487$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.38 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 11,830$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.09 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 11,245$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.95 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 9,019$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.35 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers | 73c | 8,864$6,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.05 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 8,804$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.33 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Lakers | 69c | 8,100$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 7,787$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.7 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 4,820$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.7 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 4,705$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.14 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lakers | 72c | 4,665$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.52 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 4,150$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 3,871$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.33 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,720$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.66 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lakers | 62c | 3,223$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.54 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,136$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 3,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 2,537$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.22 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,294$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers | 72c | 2,190$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.29 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,182$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.22 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,179$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.76 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Lakers | 74c | 2,048$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 2,040$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…ae5dbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…c6f8backed Lakers | 72c | 1,978$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 73c | 1,700$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Lakers | 61c | 1,685$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.06 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,629$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,557$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 73c | 1,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 70c | 1,493$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.56 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…c821backed Lakers | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,309$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…256dbacked Lakers | 79c | 1,275$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,275$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,257$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Lakers | 58c | 1,139$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.29 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…a8f9backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Lakers | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Lakers | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 78c | 999.96$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers | 78c | 979.22$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 73c | 963.66$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…b945backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 958.63$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 905.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Lakers | 80c | 867.83$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lakers | 66c | 824.44$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.97 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 807.82$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 765.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lakers | 72c | 727.98$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 717.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 678.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Lakers | 73c | 661.65$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 645.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lakers | 72c | 641.31$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.57 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae0…b9c9backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 627.53$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 610$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Lakers | 71c | 605.08$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 604.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Lakers | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lakers | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 72c | 555$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…9604backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lakers | 80c | 518.75$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…3bcabacked Lakers | 76c | 513.87$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…31febacked Lakers | 79c | 505$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Lakers | 80c | 501$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…beefbacked Lakers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…16d0backed Lakers | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 499.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Lakers | 77c | 487.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…a8afbacked Lakers | 80c | 485.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 483.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Lakers | 77c | 450$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…8a01backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 417$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f12…2a77backed Lakers | 80c | 416.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…7d49backed Lakers | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 378.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 377.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.