MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7177853c5d6e29ccdd6717feabfdf2205c8a821252928be63887d2d261fed25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Nationals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 30c | 369,315$110,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,785.83 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 70c | 119,600$83,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,880 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 70c | 111,110$77,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,333 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 70c | 64,280$44,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,322.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Brewers | 70c | 45,292$31,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,640.49 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 70c | 21,500$15,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 0c | 18,621$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 70c | 6,464$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 32c | 5,144$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.05 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 70c | 4,129$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Nationals | 31c | 3,266$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.57 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 70c | 3,225$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.12 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brewers | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Brewers | 72c | 2,847$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.68 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 70c | 2,350$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.96 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 30c | 1,865$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers | 73c | 1,803$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.83 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Nationals | 27c | 1,727$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.8 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Nationals | 29c | 1,725$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 29c | 1,627$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.82 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 72c | 1,395$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.7 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 1c | 1,392$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Brewers | 71c | 985.78$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 5c | 919$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Nationals | 31c | 811.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 66c | 706.03$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Nationals | 31c | 686.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 78c | 666.67$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Nationals | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 30c | 499.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 72c | 471.74$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 25c | 429.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Nationals | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Nationals | 29c | 303.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 34c | 294.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 34c | 294.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 31c | 280$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 28c | 262.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1e…8610backed Brewers | 68c | 246.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 77c | 217.64$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Brewers | 71c | 212.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Nationals | 32c | 191.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Brewers | 72c | 184.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…3295backed Brewers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Nationals | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 75c | 128.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers | 75c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Brewers | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Brewers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Brewers | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Brewers | 71c | 90.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked Nationals | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Brewers | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Brewers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Brewers | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Brewers | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers | 74c | 44.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Nationals | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 32c | 40.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Brewers | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Brewers | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Nationals | 29c | 36.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Brewers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…ee68backed Brewers | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Brewers | 70c | 34.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Brewers | 70c | 31.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Brewers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Brewers | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.