MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafcfe2fa1e79c9d21b9b402ed0e17533e38f43680f0d7ab9beb9aaacd9f88adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Nationals | 22c | 12,044$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.42 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 11c | 11,194$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 17c | 8,572$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 17c | 5,926$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 22c | 5,742$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.45 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 40c | 4,105$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.06 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 61c | 4,019$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 60c | 2,777$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.8 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 60c | 1,656$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 35c | 1,480$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.2 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 9c | 1,394$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 19c | 1,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Nationals | 19c | 984.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Nationals | 8c | 855.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 76c | 850$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 59c | 779.59$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.63 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 38c | 750.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 39c | 672.56$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.3 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Nationals | 2c | 635.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 40c | 625.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Nationals | 40c | 561.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Nationals | 6c | 522.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 39c | 507.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nationals | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 17c | 479.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 59c | 470.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Nationals | 4c | 392.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nationals | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Nationals | 40c | 278.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Nationals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nationals | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nationals | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Nationals | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Nationals | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 62c | 161.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Nationals | 39c | 154.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…d126backed Nationals | 40c | 131.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 23c | 130.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 59c | 125.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Nationals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Nationals | 28c | 123.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Nationals | 38c | 122$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…5a45backed Nationals | 39c | 115.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers | 63c | 102.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Nationals | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Nationals | 38c | 98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nationals | 40c | 96.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Nationals | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Nationals | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…a8edbacked Nationals | 39c | 87.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919f…9dd0backed Rangers | 62c | 86.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…b257backed Rangers | 62c | 86.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Nationals | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6093…ea92backed Rangers | 62c | 82.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d3…a613backed Nationals | 38c | 82.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…d6a2backed Rangers | 62c | 81.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…c2b5backed Rangers | 63c | 73.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…d656backed Nationals | 38c | 72.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Rangers | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5dd8backed Nationals | 40c | 71.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nationals | 41c | 61.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Rangers | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…4bc9backed Nationals | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nationals | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Nationals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Rangers | 61c | 50.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…b287backed Rangers | 76c | 50.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Rangers | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Nationals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…3ad0backed Nationals | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Nationals | 40c | 49.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f53…dbcebacked Rangers | 63c | 49.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…8501backed Nationals | 39c | 48.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…0fb4backed Rangers | 63c | 47.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Rangers | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 41c | 46.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 61c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Rangers | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Nationals | 39c | 38.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Nationals | 39c | 37.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Rangers | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Nationals | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.