MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e92bf041f2c2b7a99148990b3e66286d7fff3384b378be7e63245a7514c53ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Mariners, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 16,546$13,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.87 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 15,187$10,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.17 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 27c | 11,374$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 9,996$6,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…e325backed Mariners | 39c | 9,864$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 0c | 9,070$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Mariners | 28c | 8,981$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.81 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mariners | 40c | 7,973$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.3 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 27c | 7,134$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners | 37c | 6,163$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.18 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 36c | 5,499$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 4,966$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.64 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 4,450$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 39c | 4,425$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 39c | 4,320$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.87 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 3,266$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.52 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Mariners | 33c | 3,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,925$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.26 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 1c | 2,920$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 2,813$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.29 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 3c | 2,781$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 2,519$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.35 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 3c | 2,305$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 1c | 2,147$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 37c | 2,102$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 2,036$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Diamondbacks | 79c | 1,761$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.82 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 1,700$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 1,611$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.36 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,390$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Mariners | 13c | 1,269$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 5c | 1,175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Mariners | 4c | 1,140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 38c | 1,130$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.39 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Mariners | 1c | 1,045$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 962$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.73 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 35c | 951.27$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.94 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mariners | 26c | 930$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 43c | 911.46$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mariners | 39c | 849.94$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 848.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 27c | 804.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Mariners | 3c | 782.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Diamondbacks | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Mariners | 52c | 684.01$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mariners | 23c | 675.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 39c | 637.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 31c | 616.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Mariners | 32c | 577.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 569$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 38c | 535.65$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…f9cdbacked Mariners | 40c | 512.5$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 499.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 35c | 491.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 30c | 479.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 12c | 470$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Mariners | 40c | 461.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…d442backed Mariners | 41c | 460.1$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…ecdfbacked Mariners | 41c | 445.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 439.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 51c | 429.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…443ebacked Mariners | 41c | 415.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 24c | 409.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Mariners | 5c | 408.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Mariners | 22c | 407.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 400.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 29c | 400$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5126…cf14backed Mariners | 41c | 398.1$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Mariners | 41c | 381.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 38c | 380.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 38c | 379.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 39c | 377.53$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 364.08$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 352.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 345.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…c455backed Mariners | 28c | 337.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…7381backed Mariners | 40c | 324.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 322.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1a05backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 319.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…27ebbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 314.1$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…c59abacked Mariners | 40c | 311.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d051backed Mariners | 40c | 304.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…73cbbacked Mariners | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…bcb4backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 297.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…bccbbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 295.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mariners | 40c | 290.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…499fbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 290.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 285.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…90f2backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 285.15$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Mariners | 18c | 284.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 273.82$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.