MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe264e574446b4a7828d322c4f0f975bec2d089234510e77ac552f1e42131643b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 31c | 24,438$7,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,849.5 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rockies | 29c | 21,000$6,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,910.01 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 35c | 15,226$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,844.02 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 42c | 12,732$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.6 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 10c | 10,196$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,144.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 30c | 9,626$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Orioles | 66c | 8,345$5,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 46c | 7,848$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 10c | 7,777$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,969.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rockies | 15c | 6,355$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,397.23 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Orioles | 64c | 5,700$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.92 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Orioles | 65c | 4,100$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Rockies | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Orioles | 64c | 3,875$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rockies | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.96 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 18c | 2,484$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.54 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…51a7backed Rockies | 16c | 2,300$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rockies | 35c | 2,185$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.13 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 66c | 2,155$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.3 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 75c | 2,064$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.24 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 34c | 1,977$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rockies | 67c | 1,545$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.63 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Orioles | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Rockies | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.6 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 64c | 1,380$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.88 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockies | 78c | 1,192$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.08 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rockies | 27c | 1,141$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.88 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 35c | 1,129$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Orioles | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Orioles | 64c | 999.7$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.81 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 34c | 613$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.58 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rockies | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Orioles | 66c | 599$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rockies | 34c | 579.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 34c | 515.94$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Rockies | 8c | 493.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 72c | 402$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Orioles | 30c | 401.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Orioles | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 69c | 398.53$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Rockies | 65c | 353.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rockies | 37c | 336.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 43c | 320$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 34c | 299.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 35c | 299.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.95 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 34c | 290.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rockies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Orioles | 78c | 255.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Rockies | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 36c | 237$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…103bbacked Orioles | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 5c | 213$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Orioles | 65c | 204$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rockies | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rockies | 34c | 199.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 53c | 189.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 28c | 187$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 62c | 183.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 41c | 174.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Rockies | 46c | 160.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed Rockies | 35c | 153$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Orioles | 65c | 153$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Orioles | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Orioles | 65c | 145.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rockies | 67c | 136.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Rockies | 14c | 135$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rockies | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Rockies | 58c | 115.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 67c | 114.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Orioles | 66c | 114.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 34c | 113.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Rockies | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Orioles | 61c | 109.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Rockies | 36c | 106.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Rockies | 36c | 106$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rockies | 25c | 102.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…754fbacked Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba0…8bafbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…5c30backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…abfcbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…844dbacked Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…3941backed Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…af9cbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…772cbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…9460backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…c0d9backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…9860backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.