TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Marlins vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marlinsof Marlins, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$585,713
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,713 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked Marlins33c94,777$31,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,500.676642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5912…89aebacked Brewers67c73,058$48,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,949.132744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers60c55,883$33,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,389.8418837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins33c53,315$17,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,720.91,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers67c44,313$29,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,688.9848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins33c29,775$9,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,949.5124553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Brewers69c29,213$20,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,134.7513352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers67c25,000$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,749.9826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Marlins31c24,423$7,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,851.7960451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins45c16,805$7,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,222.1356451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Brewers36c16,487$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Marlins53c10,849$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.5429240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers58c8,315$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,822.571,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x458d…178fbacked Marlins31c7,425$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,123.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Brewers57c7,132$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,058.8815745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…2a4ebacked Brewers67c7,097$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe869…1feabacked Brewers69c6,925$4,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.06366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Marlins33c6,500$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3556847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers46c6,436$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd447…c718backed Brewers67c6,400$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers56c6,220$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.641747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Marlins32c5,935$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.89440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins33c5,862$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.931,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins40c5,788$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.832,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Marlins30c5,314$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.484151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins42c5,181$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.6154941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins32c4,872$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.151,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins40c4,564$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Brewers68c4,386$2,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Brewers45c4,235$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.0611057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins59c4,011$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.9568769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf534…bdf0backed Brewers69c4,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers71c3,988$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.3232852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac61…4680backed Brewers69c3,770$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Brewers51c3,734$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8876749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins33c3,650$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.51,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Brewers66c3,641$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40613151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea13…f4c1backed Marlins31c3,550$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins31c3,314$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers67c3,055$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.7134550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Marlins30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.977548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5f…a958backed Brewers69c2,900$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d09…25cabacked Brewers69c2,900$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Brewers73c2,526$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.75156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Brewers67c2,239$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Brewers70c2,111$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.711555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd4…05febacked Marlins30c2,100$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Brewers12c2,061$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf143…f5d9backed Marlins31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd019…0003backed Marlins30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc9…50fabacked Marlins31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd87d…f027backed Marlins30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf29b…ec44backed Marlins31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed Brewers53c1,817$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e41…6133backed Marlins31c1,800$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Marlins31c1,792$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.4850852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Brewers52c1,730$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.313946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69b…6afdbacked Brewers67c1,659$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.774250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f7e…d88bbacked Brewers69c1,641$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Marlins32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc96c…4fcdbacked Marlins31c1,400$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+87.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa920…c0fdbacked Marlins31c1,400$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Brewers67c1,331$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.987651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins36c1,326$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.9886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Marlins31c1,299$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.4818848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins31c1,255$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.0419449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Marlins31c1,194$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.5714148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Brewers58c1,184$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.642231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c11…ae80backed Brewers69c1,159$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.71520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-67.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers65c1,157$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Brewers58c1,126$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7919239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefca…5d11backed Brewers70c1,083$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c7…669bbacked Brewers70c1,071$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Brewers62c1,065$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.3724551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Brewers66c1,064$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Marlins31c1,031$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0811947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb4f…4cd8backed Brewers70c1,029$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…8d8dbacked Brewers70c1,017$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc99b…7d85backed Brewers69c1,014$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.66850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Marlins29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f4…377cbacked Brewers69c986$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers56c978.63$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…2c86backed Brewers70c971$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb9a…ba53backed Brewers71c947.14$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x233a…5fd2backed Brewers70c929$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa95e…1924backed Brewers69c928$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins33c899.97$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.981,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Brewers60c894.71$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.7279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Marlins71c882.7$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.811,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…d685backed Brewers69c872$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins38c846.8$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Brewers53c838.46$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.356,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Marlins31c835.48$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.486953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f6…1e55backed Marlins50c770.18$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Marlins34c751.44$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.9512949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marlins32c739.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.785,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Brewers13c706.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.79629.7%6 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins31c655.98$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Marlins30c628$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.67847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.