TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Angels, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36da…e646backed Mets61c12,821$7,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.123545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Angels39c9,818$3,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,829.0226355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels17c6,601$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.722,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels39c5,818$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.021,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Angels38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90013352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee1…dae8backed Mets61c3,980$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.26456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mets62c3,654$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels5c3,153$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels6c3,068$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Angels38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9611555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Mets62c2,122$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.367548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets70c2,054$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets61c1,919$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.45,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.891,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mets64c1,514$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.3138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Angels38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Angels14c1,462$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0754941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Angels39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3728042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels2c1,220$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Mets65c1,175$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.856660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Mets62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Angels39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3905648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mets61c776.01$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.646550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Angels39c671.28$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f90…2bd9backed Mets62c671.15$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels38c660.26$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.92,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Angels2c617.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets64c533.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Angels38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels35c430$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.51,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Angels33c403.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78c4…a801backed Angels3c386.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Angels39c384.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8423938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Angels5c353.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Angels5c342.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.988762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Mets63c315.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels37c299.96$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe08…40bebacked Angels39c282.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Angels38c264$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked Angels39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Angels32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Mets61c226.64$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.392733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…70c1backed Angels39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Angels40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets62c178$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.642,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a6…fe2abacked Mets63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick61cpaid-62.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mets71c154.63$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8421…37d7backed Angels39c151.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Angels17c145.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels39c141.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Angels29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Angels30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b5…830ebacked Angels39c125.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mets68c117.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x0a97…78efbacked Mets62c104.9$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Mets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3869547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Mets61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3966751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2b…ebffbacked Angels39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…cc69backed Mets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba0…e82fbacked Mets62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c8…bb7fbacked Angels39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e4…3caabacked Angels39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels36c98.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Mets62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7724951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…8061backed Mets62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ac…1e84backed Mets62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…bc24backed Mets62c91.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda92…c7eebacked Mets62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…b12dbacked Mets62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e61…b911backed Angels39c90$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Angels39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebc…20a6backed Mets62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cf…3a72backed Mets62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…60c8backed Mets66c82.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Angels38c81.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8116552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2f0…3f20backed Angels39c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Angels39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb144…33e9backed Mets62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac3…2405backed Angels27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0875…8827backed Mets62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x653c…dc99backed Angels39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Angels39c68.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Mets67c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7825364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0c…b161backed Angels39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Angels39c64.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2517037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd7…2b96backed Mets62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c0e…551ebacked Mets63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.494344.2%19 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf472…7d49backed Angels38c63.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5c…f009backed Mets62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd26…9871backed Angels39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ed…16b9backed Angels39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739a…ab9cbacked Mets62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Angels20c59.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7612924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcb6…48d6backed Mets61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.