MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb463c7860500b4442ded0944836b413bc5409d713b5e06fcc87e90da13acf7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Phillies | 57c | 20,000$11,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,605 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 60c | 12,018$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.79 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Phillies | 57c | 11,944$6,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,137.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 11,530$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 39c | 9,893$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.15 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Phillies | 57c | 8,330$4,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 6,928$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 6,764$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 6,068$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.78 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Blue Jays | 2c | 4,804$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Phillies | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 56c | 3,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 2c | 3,423$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 14c | 2,913$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.48 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 43c | 2,368$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.14 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Phillies | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 2,170$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Blue Jays | 8c | 2,044$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 33c | 1,970$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.23 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 1c | 1,892$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,821$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,510$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.29 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,301$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.41 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,264$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.75 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,146$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.44 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Blue Jays | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Blue Jays | 5c | 1,100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 1,051$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.13 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Blue Jays | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…3d8fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blue Jays | 42c | 999.91$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Blue Jays | 3c | 979.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 2c | 909.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…838fbacked Phillies | 56c | 891$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Blue Jays | 44c | 890.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Phillies | 58c | 856.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.19 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Phillies | 56c | 825.48$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Blue Jays | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 54c | 758.04$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Blue Jays | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 58c | 744.63$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Blue Jays | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Blue Jays | 42c | 694.82$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 3c | 678$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Blue Jays | 2c | 638.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…1b55backed Blue Jays | 2c | 616.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…3adfbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Blue Jays | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…a967backed Blue Jays | 8c | 517.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 510$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…0eeebacked Blue Jays | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Phillies | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 57c | 436.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.88 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 43c | 434.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…e3dcbacked Phillies | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Phillies | 66c | 305.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 56c | 303.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Blue Jays | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Phillies | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Blue Jays | 18c | 269$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 43c | 265.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 56c | 261.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Blue Jays | 8c | 257.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed Phillies | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jays | 19c | 249.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Blue Jays | 44c | 219.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 44c | 214.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 57c | 209.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Phillies | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Blue Jays | 44c | 159.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…29b5backed Blue Jays | 44c | 158.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 135.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed Phillies | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…b13cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Phillies | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…8fedbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 110.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 56c | 107.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Phillies | 57c | 104.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Phillies | 56c | 103.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…7473backed Phillies | 57c | 102.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…893abacked Phillies | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…f0adbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 101.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…49c7backed Blue Jays | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.