TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Rockies, Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Nationals63c71,200$44,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,85616643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rockies41c48,028$19,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,387.1135854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockies37c30,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,90060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies65c6,851$4,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.139739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Nationals63c6,622$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.0111153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nationals2c5,000$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Rockies37c2,800$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7641560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals63c2,800$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7641,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9731346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9341643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f17…c521backed Nationals64c1,700$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies36c1,685$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.762,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies32c1,343$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.341,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ad…0bbcbacked Nationals63c1,008$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb678…f74dbacked Nationals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Nationals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies36c999.98$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Nationals63c977.65$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23a8…7f02backed Rockies37c893.34$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.021241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies36c735.84$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.661,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies37c680.81$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9143654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Nationals32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies67c518.5$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals6c505$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.18762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6d…fb82backed Nationals64c392.25$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.04560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Nationals64c388$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3215949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nationals68c369$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9279740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies32c369$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.9268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Nationals65c338.46$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Nationals53c337.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6720343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies36c336.91$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.621,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies35c318.77$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.249250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nationals47c315$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.055,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Nationals65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Rockies33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0313450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nationals63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18917239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rockies36c293$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals68c273$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2768769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies58c250.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals54c230.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.884,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Rockies36c228.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5323753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Nationals65c215.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14074356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nationals56c206.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.169,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Nationals48c184.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.728543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Nationals25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Nationals64c178.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies38c168.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9352542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b0…4b04backed Nationals64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe7…580dbacked Nationals74c143.54$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.221752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Nationals75c132.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Rockies37c118.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rockies36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1178454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies73c108.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4119650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies36c103.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.332,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Nationals64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6413555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Nationals25c91.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals63c78.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Nationals64c77.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Nationals65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies77c75.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594f…392cbacked Nationals63c70.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Rockies37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5717149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b95…8affbacked Nationals63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Nationals65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404341.9%18 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1df4…0fe8backed Nationals65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9022…b426backed Rockies36c61.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.113735.1%13 W · 24 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rockies33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6147348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rockies36c60.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b9…9150backed Nationals64c58.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Nationals63c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6541649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nationals63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.540629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeed1…d086backed Nationals63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6961…66a7backed Rockies36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324139%16 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a5…5e6fbacked Nationals65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…7f21backed Nationals64c46.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8794…e6b3backed Rockies37c41.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nationals64c41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2412451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rockies35c39.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.933852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64f9…849abacked Nationals65c38.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeace…fe6abacked Rockies37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4313247%62 W · 70 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531a…874bbacked Nationals63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Nationals65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Nationals64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3301…a3ecbacked Rockies36c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Nationals64c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5618848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f3…be80backed Rockies36c29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…acf4backed Nationals64c28.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0239…7690backed Nationals65c24.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef7…e634backed Nationals64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.