MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4013e60cbaaf61e712218e94288324dfbfcc3404211c6234c68f601a67b2b2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Angels, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $864,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Angels | 36c | 799,997$284,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515,627.08 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 64c | 173,242$111,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,107.31 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Phillies | 64c | 145,564$93,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,606.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 65c | 80,173$51,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,812.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Phillies | 65c | 80,066$51,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,683.28 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 65c | 78,225$50,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,563.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 64c | 45,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 65c | 44,175$28,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,713.75 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 65c | 40,826$26,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,534.51 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 65c | 28,571$18,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,571.15 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 64c | 14,577$9,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.34 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 65c | 14,300$9,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,324.82 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 65c | 11,598$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.64 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 66c | 8,799$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,837.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 64c | 7,450$4,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,768.16 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 64c | 7,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 65c | 6,597$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 40c | 5,688$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Angels | 74c | 5,485$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.87 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 65c | 4,290$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Phillies | 65c | 4,082$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.25 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 65c | 3,600$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Angels | 34c | 3,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 28c | 3,267$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 65c | 3,000$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 66c | 2,601$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.92 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 18c | 2,449$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Angels | 35c | 1,978$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.5 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 64c | 1,475$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.58 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 65c | 1,431$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Angels | 23c | 1,352$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.11 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.15 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Angels | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 27c | 1,092$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Angels | 35c | 1,079$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.11 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 65c | 1,021$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Phillies | 65c | 915.38$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Angels | 40c | 750.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.96 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 671.88$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Phillies | 65c | 660.71$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Phillies | 65c | 600.58$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Phillies | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Angels | 36c | 586.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.28 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 36c | 559.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.38 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Angels | 24c | 520$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Phillies | 67c | 514.25$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 59c | 467.36$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 33c | 449.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels | 34c | 410.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 67c | 400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Phillies | 65c | 394.52$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Phillies | 67c | 372.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 65c | 355.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.9 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Angels | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…7286backed Phillies | 64c | 349$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Phillies | 62c | 311.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…9e99backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 62c | 300.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Phillies | 66c | 293.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 36c | 278.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 60c | 265.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 70c | 233$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Angels | 34c | 230.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Phillies | 64c | 228.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Angels | 33c | 223.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 35c | 210$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 61c | 204$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 34c | 200.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Angels | 35c | 199.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Angels | 47c | 192.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Phillies | 66c | 185$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Angels | 39c | 166.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Phillies | 41c | 165.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Phillies | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Phillies | 70c | 152$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Angels | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 8c | 134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Angels | 37c | 131$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa7…04b1backed Phillies | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Angels | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Angels | 38c | 105.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…42dabacked Angels | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…ebe4backed Angels | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Angels | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 67c | 91.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Phillies | 65c | 86.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…a4cdbacked Angels | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 64c | 79.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Angels | 24c | 78.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Angels | 15c | 78.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Phillies | 77c | 73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Phillies | 66c | 68.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.