MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e2d9efba6d566022444a0da5178ea2a9388642f923c027308750d54d3d4439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $463,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 213,176$130,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,157.02 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 36c | 43,206$15,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,620.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 11c | 41,365$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed White Sox | 39c | 37,464$14,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,610.96 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 35c | 26,508$9,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,149.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 39c | 25,881$10,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,029.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 39c | 22,222$8,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.58 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 39c | 21,215$8,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 40c | 10,484$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 34c | 10,309$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…15b6backed Blue Jays | 63c | 9,995$6,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…fbd0backed White Sox | 37c | 9,995$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 21c | 9,312$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed White Sox | 53c | 6,083$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 40c | 5,541$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.14 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,711$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.77 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 6c | 4,556$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 39c | 4,500$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 60c | 4,316$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 39c | 4,263$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.88 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox | 39c | 3,800$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 39c | 3,667$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked White Sox | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 1c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,773$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.56 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed White Sox | 39c | 2,600$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,184$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 39c | 2,144$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…9528backed White Sox | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 1c | 1,668$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,300$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed White Sox | 13c | 1,298$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.61 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox | 39c | 999.96$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox | 39c | 897$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…cad9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 896.08$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed White Sox | 39c | 896$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Blue Jays | 52c | 888.37$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…455dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 883.85$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7013…2c27backed Blue Jays | 60c | 867$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 39c | 865.89$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 59c | 830.85$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.27 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Blue Jays | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Blue Jays | 73c | 798.78$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.18 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 755.4$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 729.54$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.54 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed White Sox | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Blue Jays | 61c | 692.95$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed White Sox | 13c | 677.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Blue Jays | 62c | 660$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Blue Jays | 54c | 648.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 35c | 646.9$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox | 3c | 523.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 503.48$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked White Sox | 40c | 503.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Blue Jays | 63c | 476.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 415.76$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Blue Jays | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 36c | 399.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 391.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 37c | 350.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jays | 70c | 345.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 336.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Blue Jays | 47c | 334.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 19c | 309.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Blue Jays | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 281.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked White Sox | 16c | 280.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 274.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Blue Jays | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox | 40c | 262.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 64c | 261.56$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked White Sox | 38c | 261.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Blue Jays | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 61c | 239.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox | 6c | 224$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox | 47c | 213.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 38c | 211.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Blue Jays | 63c | 207.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays | 60c | 199.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 61c | 193$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked White Sox | 38c | 188.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Blue Jays | 61c | 184.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 176.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…98acbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 164.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.