MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x932c71802e015af066ef07a5ec89d1d55a34c83f32a44b23b0f85d51626474fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 57c | 7,259$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.59 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Mariners | 58c | 6,736$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 42c | 5,676$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 58c | 5,080$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.44 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 62c | 4,579$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.44 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 42c | 3,083$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Orioles | 48c | 2,890$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 45c | 2,775$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.38 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 8c | 2,513$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 50c | 2,142$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Mariners | 29c | 2,087$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Orioles | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 43c | 1,826$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.64 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2e03backed Mariners | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mariners | 16c | 1,640$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,608$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 18c | 1,531$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 1c | 1,526$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 42c | 1,446$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 39c | 1,440$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.93 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Orioles | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…2a63backed Mariners | 36c | 1,359$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Mariners | 57c | 1,346$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 57c | 1,230$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.32 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 16c | 1,205$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 47c | 1,200$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Orioles | 60c | 1,179$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Orioles | 43c | 1,135$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.35 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,103$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.55 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 49c | 1,094$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 53c | 1,021$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Orioles | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mariners | 34c | 1,006$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 42c | 999.58$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners | 56c | 994.94$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.17 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 57c | 958.9$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.62 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Mariners | 56c | 789.66$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.4 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 3c | 714.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 58c | 670.88$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Orioles | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Orioles | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 64c | 467.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 9c | 454.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 42c | 449.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 41c | 381.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 42c | 337.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Orioles | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…9091backed Orioles | 64c | 292.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Mariners | 56c | 264.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Orioles | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 41c | 248.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…ec02backed Orioles | 77c | 227.77$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Orioles | 51c | 196.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 8c | 193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Mariners | 57c | 176.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 45c | 163.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Orioles | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 10c | 159$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Orioles | 57c | 157.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 28c | 147.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mariners | 55c | 147.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 18c | 122.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Orioles | 42c | 116$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed Mariners | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Mariners | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7c96backed Mariners | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Orioles | 42c | 99.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mariners | 65c | 92.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Orioles | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Mariners | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 59c | 79.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 59c | 77.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Mariners | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Orioles | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…7fbfbacked Mariners | 59c | 69.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Mariners | 60c | 63.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…b3aebacked Orioles | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Mariners | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Orioles | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Orioles | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Orioles | 42c | 56.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…7ec2backed Orioles | 48c | 51.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Orioles | 42c | 49.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Orioles | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Orioles | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Orioles | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.