TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f94…9a4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$32.44
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$38
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$17.32
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$13
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$73.71
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2025, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+139.5%+$29.3
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.67
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+232.5%+$69.76
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$30.41
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$22.9
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Red Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Pirates vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$19.53
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.