NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379432e7d7c9e113436c72d01df77ab6a9e2a5bbabcfb8d003eeef7eef0fc15c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Senators, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 41c | 5,003$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Senators | 61c | 4,926$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Sabres | 43c | 2,500$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.96 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 59c | 2,478$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.73 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 39c | 2,457$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.03 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Sabres | 39c | 1,555$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.55 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Senators | 58c | 1,362$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Sabres | 41c | 1,205$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Senators | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Senators | 58c | 1,036$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 57c | 1,021$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.97 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Sabres | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Senators | 56c | 900.44$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.25 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Senators | 59c | 862.03$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.4 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sabres | 41c | 710.28$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 39c | 696.87$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 40c | 692.82$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Sabres | 39c | 690.22$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.03 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabres | 41c | 628$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.17 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 39c | 599.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.76 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Senators | 58c | 551.72$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 40c | 466.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.17 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 43c | 386.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…ede9backed Senators | 60c | 384.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 45c | 354.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sabres | 40c | 344$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Sabres | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…7386backed Sabres | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 40c | 267.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Senators | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sabres | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Senators | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Senators | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…2d54backed Senators | 58c | 223.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Senators | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Senators | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Senators | 58c | 168.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Sabres | 41c | 163.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Sabres | 44c | 139.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…e8c6backed Sabres | 41c | 133.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…57fbbacked Sabres | 44c | 131.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Senators | 59c | 123.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 56c | 121.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sabres | 41c | 117.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Senators | 58c | 112.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 41c | 109.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 40c | 107.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…d3dbbacked Sabres | 41c | 102.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9c15backed Sabres | 43c | 100.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Senators | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Sabres | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…c612backed Senators | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f00…559dbacked Sabres | 42c | 96.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Senators | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…09e8backed Sabres | 43c | 93.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…73cdbacked Sabres | 43c | 92.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Senators | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Sabres | 42c | 90.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…6533backed Senators | 61c | 89.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Senators | 59c | 88.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…a8a3backed Sabres | 42c | 87.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…fbd8backed Senators | 61c | 86.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…b727backed Sabres | 43c | 86.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…bb0ebacked Senators | 60c | 85.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…fa37backed Sabres | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Sabres | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Senators | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…7a04backed Senators | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…ab20backed Senators | 59c | 75.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…bfcdbacked Sabres | 41c | 75.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…b7b8backed Sabres | 42c | 75.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Senators | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Senators | 58c | 73.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Sabres | 42c | 73.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Sabres | 41c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Senators | 60c | 67.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Sabres | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…febebacked Sabres | 42c | 63.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…aa06backed Sabres | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Senators | 60c | 58.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…9cadbacked Senators | 60c | 55.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Sabres | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…be62backed Sabres | 43c | 54.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Senators | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Sabres | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Senators | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…7d89backed Sabres | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Sabres | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Sabres | 43c | 48.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Senators | 58c | 48.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…c723backed Senators | 60c | 46.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…53fbbacked Senators | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Senators | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…288ebacked Sabres | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.