TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Cardinals, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,252,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,284,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals35c893,077$312,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580,511.7812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers65c532,402$346,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346,171.841,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Dodgers65c275,000$178,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178,75022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cardinals35c114,165$39,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,207.389440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Dodgers65c38,880$25,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,27248254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers65c37,446$24,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,433.838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Dodgers65c35,000$22,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,75011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers65c28,571$18,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,571.1117156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Dodgers66c16,393$10,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,819.3738047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals34c15,000$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,85056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Dodgers64c13,404$8,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,570.8154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Dodgers13c11,736$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.4841747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Dodgers65c11,700$7,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6054443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers65c9,100$5,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9151,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers65c8,722$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,647.82,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers65c8,216$5,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,340.425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals36c7,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80033845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers65c7,400$4,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,81055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Dodgers65c6,513$4,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.2950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers65c6,470$4,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,205.543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cardinals35c6,427$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.3726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers9c5,748$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.381,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Cardinals28c5,725$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.032725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Dodgers78c5,714$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals27c5,366$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.851,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Cardinals34c5,033$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.735947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers65c4,923$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.2635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Dodgers65c4,413$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.437147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa348…e205backed Dodgers65c4,405$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,863.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers6c3,405$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Dodgers66c3,385$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.15851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals30c3,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.3395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers65c3,000$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers65c2,424$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d4…ffb3backed Dodgers47c2,124$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.21757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef0…e6c2backed Dodgers65c2,100$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Cardinals36c2,069$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.4470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cardinals34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Dodgers65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c0…d431backed Dodgers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Cardinals54c1,866$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.476453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cardinals27c1,823$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.4631248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…09fbbacked Cardinals35c1,800$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0f1…ab0abacked Cardinals35c1,700$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+71.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cae…4e88backed Dodgers65c1,631$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f2…f52cbacked Cardinals35c1,571$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals36c1,485$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd05…edf7backed Dodgers65c1,400$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers65c1,357$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cardinals22c1,282$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.686,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe627…ffaabacked Dodgers67c1,235$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b65…0704backed Cardinals35c1,229$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+69.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c92…1897backed Cardinals35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52da…c1f6backed Dodgers65c1,169$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dodgers66c1,165$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5943247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21aa…515fbacked Dodgers65c1,100$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick54cpaid-76.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Dodgers64c1,065$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.326453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers65c1,043$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.971,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3674…77d5backed Dodgers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66050843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals26c1,000$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74227733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals34c951$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.6624547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4804…a3bcbacked Cardinals35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Dodgers65c895.38$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5826953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers38c784.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Dodgers74c758.42$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.1643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers65c689.5$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers66c681.82$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers8c681$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.481,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals36c665.08$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Dodgers76c652.5$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.95156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Dodgers65c627.97$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1818848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Cardinals13c626.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.148032.5%26 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals34c612$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers69c579.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Dodgers76c544.69$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Dodgers66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Dodgers71c505.26$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6232754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Cardinals35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32516349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Dodgers8c482.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2918350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Dodgers65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Dodgers65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers70c460.8$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6860052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Dodgers70c451.63$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9427458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals34c449.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals34c399.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.971,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Dodgers65c381$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6524253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals35c370.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Cardinals36c369$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1616552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals34c354.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.291,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Dodgers72c349.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Dodgers80c346.71$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1312868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Dodgers3c345.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.865852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals17c341.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.412,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers66c341.26$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2319356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Dodgers74c332.32$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.345928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals33c305.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.339160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.