NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9a96c4208e6dc768873463caf449fe4a93345db2de2ebdc873b26dc6a0dc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Penguins, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lightning | 72c | 6,035$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.68 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Lightning | 73c | 3,284$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 28c | 2,783$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.36 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lightning | 72c | 2,739$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.35 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Penguins | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Penguins | 27c | 1,555$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.83 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Lightning | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Penguins | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Penguins | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Penguins | 28c | 1,355$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Lightning | 73c | 1,209$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins | 28c | 1,196$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.65 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 72c | 837.16$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 78c | 667.65$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Penguins | 6c | 570.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Lightning | 76c | 560.1$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 24c | 536.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Penguins | 2c | 513$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Penguins | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Penguins | 28c | 499.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Lightning | 72c | 443.14$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 27c | 411.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 27c | 358.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Penguins | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins | 27c | 342$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 28c | 304.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Penguins | 28c | 289.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 26c | 274.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 73c | 256.98$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 14c | 226.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…6c05backed Penguins | 28c | 182.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Lightning | 73c | 171.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Penguins | 28c | 148.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…dd3ebacked Penguins | 28c | 140.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lightning | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…b9e5backed Penguins | 28c | 135.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 31c | 128.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…12d1backed Penguins | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Penguins | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…129fbacked Lightning | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Penguins | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penguins | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…3403backed Lightning | 73c | 75.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Penguins | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Penguins | 27c | 70.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…40a6backed Lightning | 73c | 70.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3e71backed Lightning | 73c | 70.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Lightning | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…acedbacked Lightning | 73c | 69.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Penguins | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…e347backed Lightning | 73c | 68.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Lightning | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…9544backed Lightning | 73c | 65.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Lightning | 78c | 64.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…944fbacked Lightning | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34aa…980abacked Penguins | 29c | 54.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Penguins | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Penguins | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Lightning | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4efa…d02dbacked Lightning | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…4c49backed Lightning | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Lightning | 73c | 36.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Penguins | 29c | 34.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Lightning | 73c | 32.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Lightning | 72c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Lightning | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Lightning | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Lightning | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked Lightning | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Lightning | 72c | 22.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Lightning | 72c | 22.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6f…98cdbacked Lightning | 72c | 21.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Lightning | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…cb50backed Lightning | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Lightning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…e349backed Lightning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…a194backed Lightning | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked Lightning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Lightning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…940dbacked Lightning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…2689backed Lightning | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.