Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb302eea2640b3cd74bff3e244246586c146955bfb958dcaf2da4848e4986bf3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 2,646$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.1 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,655$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 24c | 912$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 801.97$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 454.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 411.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 352.95$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 77c | 330$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 286.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 253.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 16c | 250.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 76c | 249$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…4d19backed Yes | 23c | 208$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 140.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…0eaabacked Yes | 24c | 70.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 63.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Yes | 24c | 62.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 58.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 55.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 78c | 43.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.