TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ef4…292cbacked Rangers70c146,000$102,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,20040%0 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x258a…f8e2backed Flames30c146,000$43,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers68c25,722$17,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,598.387758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flames35c21,078$7,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,656.511,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Rangers67c9,377$6,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,282.366357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Rangers73c7,088$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.366940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames32c5,890$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,005.0292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Flames33c4,438$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.174134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flames32c4,258$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.7937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…903cbacked Flames58c4,112$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames30c4,055$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.6851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Flames31c3,707$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+68.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Rangers71c2,768$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.371450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flames33c2,752$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.8430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Flames31c2,750$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers38c2,541$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.663,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers68c2,538$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.1927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Flames31c2,479$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.29352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames30c2,379$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers23c2,371$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.721620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Rangers70c2,347$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.9749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Flames30c2,323$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.14847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacc6…bef1backed Flames30c2,112$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Flames38c1,906$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.88139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Rangers69c1,844$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.4422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flames30c1,820$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.8385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Flames31c1,748$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.1211533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Rangers67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0051338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Flames33c1,498$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.661464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flames29c1,497$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames30c1,444$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.611,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Rangers71c1,397$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flames34c1,373$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.151,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames32c1,346$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8134…3a6fbacked Flames32c1,301$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…ba3cbacked Rangers70c1,300$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Flames55c1,250$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56526547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f7…d311backed Flames30c1,154$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.01666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+81.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Flames34c1,100$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7262347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Rangers66c1,100$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7268536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.451,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers77c1,000$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames32c1,000$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rangers66c819.82$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54331753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers62c792.77$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.681,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flames30c729.47$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2464242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Flames65c716.45$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.354831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames34c604.99$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfccc…6334backed Flames35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Flames35c502.86$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8612955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e7…e756backed Rangers66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-76%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Flames31c475$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7513846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Rangers73c428.63$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2940…6ab3backed Rangers71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Flames21c418.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02fe…e8b4backed Flames31c407.72$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Flames68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1288350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Flames31c366.28$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.738932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x037e…e009backed Rangers69c347.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42eb…2027backed Flames31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers32c307.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5441340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Flames31c292.57$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4629748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…913ebacked Rangers68c292.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5e…d2f6backed Rangers71c290$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d6…423fbacked Flames61c287.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480c…81f2backed Flames38c282.05$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames31c278.65$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd1…639bbacked Rangers71c238.14$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers63c237$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flames34c235.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2924945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed Flames31c216.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.462759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Flames53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.74650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Rangers67c208.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc0c…e263backed Rangers71c206$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.262166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Rangers71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14221255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked Flames31c178.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.442166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7897…ea9abacked Flames30c173.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.172166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Flames31c172.35$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1765…238dbacked Rangers66c169$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8b…57f2backed Flames34c169$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Flames31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Flames32c160$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Rangers64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…0426backed Flames50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Rangers50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…9f82backed Rangers66c155$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab44…549bbacked Flames34c155$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdf…b489backed Rangers71c154.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…5f89backed Flames31c154.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.865100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rangers66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537d…bde1backed Flames31c151.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.261580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa581…b0bcbacked Flames30c150.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Rangers18c149.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Rangers68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers69c146.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Rangers71c145.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.642458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Flames30c143.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8416437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Flames34c143.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.233943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Rangers71c139.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.811650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.