TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x762e…4bf0backed Braves62c20,014$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50024551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves34c12,140$4,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,125.2886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox36c7,424$2,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,732.711,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox38c6,400$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9681,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Red Sox36c6,145$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.8169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox38c5,555$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves25c5,181$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.461,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ee0…98cfbacked Braves69c5,046$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves59c3,598$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.41,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox58c2,314$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.121,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox39c2,056$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.432,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Braves61c2,049$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox44c1,979$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves27c1,819$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe561…a68dbacked Red Sox73c1,394$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox37c1,083$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.2976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Sox39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Red Sox50c919.5$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Red Sox71c835$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.514966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Braves9c778$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0217927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves24c731.81$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.292,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox39c650$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves59c604.82$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8433349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Braves5c585.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.991,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Red Sox37c508.17$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.4711757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox38c469.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.045,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox41c449.14$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Red Sox39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24414549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Red Sox39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Braves42c392.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.924030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22515949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Red Sox76c326.18$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1817866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Braves62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Red Sox35c300.07$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.447841%32 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Braves50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Braves60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves21c263.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.961,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Red Sox76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves5c248.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.475053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Braves62c222.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.058457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Braves8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves60c199.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Red Sox76c179.96$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1932832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Braves51c175.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.793554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox46c152.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8452542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Braves68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc3…127ebacked Red Sox41c132.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7a…cb41backed Red Sox40c131.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4db8…d0dcbacked Red Sox41c124.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox39c119.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1541649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20f…19fcbacked Red Sox41c118.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Red Sox37c118.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.734434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Red Sox41c101$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5915644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Braves61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6320448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Red Sox41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5619233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Red Sox61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c4…99d1backed Red Sox40c84.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…d126backed Braves62c83.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98c…02c6backed Braves61c83.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34ae…0402backed Braves62c82.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Braves62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf43a…8254backed Braves61c79.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815b…ec44backed Braves62c79.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb3…858dbacked Red Sox40c75.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4480…4ebcbacked Braves62c74.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb640…81ebbacked Braves61c73.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0340%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Braves26c71.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4843250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Red Sox33c70$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.917732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Braves60c66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Red Sox56c62.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.912249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox64c62.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f94…9a4abacked Braves61c60.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Red Sox40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves60c59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Red Sox37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Red Sox70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Red Sox40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee64…3f7ebacked Red Sox29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8f…554ebacked Braves61c48.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Braves62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Red Sox27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.26142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Braves26c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e09…f2d9backed Braves61c39.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Braves64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox39c35.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves39c35.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.754,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…5d6abacked Braves62c33.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Braves39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.730740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Red Sox39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.336453%193 W · 171 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Red Sox39c29.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Red Sox76c27.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6334264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Red Sox40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d8…5570backed Red Sox66c24.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.