NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53e2dd720fd8681a7a4278ce514ed300063082461cace1c37d61c3f957655f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Blackhawks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Blackhawks | 19c | 125,715$24,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,194.11 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Blackhawks | 25c | 27,521$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 74c | 16,250$12,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.08 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 13,536$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.82 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Blackhawks | 22c | 9,228$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.86 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 79c | 8,901$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.06 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Capitals | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Capitals | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…c195backed Blackhawks | 23c | 2,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 77c | 2,035$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 22c | 2,027$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.66 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Capitals | 78c | 2,003$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Blackhawks | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 78c | 1,791$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Blackhawks | 23c | 1,623$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.76 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 62c | 1,457$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.49 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Capitals | 75c | 1,350$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Capitals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Capitals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 77c | 1,136$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 78c | 968.4$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 77c | 740.6$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 78c | 712.18$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 74c | 676$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Capitals | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blackhawks | 22c | 587.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Capitals | 78c | 581.45$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…8573backed Blackhawks | 21c | 560.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Capitals | 76c | 553$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Blackhawks | 38c | 532.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Capitals | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Capitals | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blackhawks | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Blackhawks | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Capitals | 77c | 405.88$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Capitals | 77c | 399.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Capitals | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 23c | 360.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Capitals | 78c | 356.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Blackhawks | 20c | 334.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Capitals | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 78c | 253.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Capitals | 78c | 207.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blackhawks | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…5e35backed Blackhawks | 23c | 191.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Capitals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Capitals | 78c | 144.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Capitals | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…2eb4backed Blackhawks | 22c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e9…b2b3backed Capitals | 78c | 139$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Blackhawks | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Capitals | 77c | 135.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…63a5backed Blackhawks | 23c | 129.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Capitals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1cd8backed Capitals | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Capitals | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Capitals | 78c | 119.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…e758backed Blackhawks | 23c | 119.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Capitals | 79c | 114.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Capitals | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…853dbacked Capitals | 79c | 107.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…edc5backed Capitals | 79c | 102.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Blackhawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Capitals | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Capitals | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Blackhawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Capitals | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Capitals | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Capitals | 77c | 98.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…184cbacked Capitals | 77c | 92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Capitals | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b6…4da6backed Capitals | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Capitals | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Capitals | 77c | 84.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…6c3abacked Blackhawks | 23c | 80.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Capitals | 77c | 76.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3348…c819backed Capitals | 79c | 70.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…155ebacked Capitals | 78c | 70.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…69b2backed Capitals | 78c | 70.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0da8backed Capitals | 78c | 69.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60de…0669backed Blackhawks | 23c | 66.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…54dbbacked Capitals | 78c | 66.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Capitals | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c4bdbacked Capitals | 78c | 65.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Blackhawks | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Blackhawks | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…7399backed Blackhawks | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…c6b7backed Capitals | 77c | 63.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7139…f965backed Capitals | 78c | 63.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.