NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a8336bccc044f6cfe77e60502bed0d99e2d2d12f4e884a81bed7de9a8a0207e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 10c | 13,050$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 9c | 7,111$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.12 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 2c | 5,026$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz | 11c | 4,734$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Jazz | 14c | 3,579$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Jazz | 8c | 2,647$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 8c | 2,060$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Jazz | 10c | 1,933$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Jazz | 7c | 1,360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Jazz | 16c | 1,265$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz | 12c | 1,121$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Jazz | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz | 10c | 1,100$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Jazz | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Jazz | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Jazz | 11c | 916.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Jazz | 16c | 629.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz | 10c | 614.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Jazz | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Jazz | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz | 10c | 501.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Jazz | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…5e6ebacked Jazz | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 2.8%2 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.17per pick | 20cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Jazz | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jazz | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz | 6c | 474.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Jazz | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Jazz | 10c | 455$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz | 10c | 375.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Jazz | 6c | 361.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Jazz | 3c | 346$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Jazz | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585f…e934backed Jazz | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Jazz | 8c | 249.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Jazz | 11c | 239.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Jazz | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Jazz | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Jazz | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Jazz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Jazz | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Jazz | 9c | 161.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Jazz | 9c | 158.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Jazz | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Jazz | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Jazz | 8c | 147.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Jazz | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jazz | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…045fbacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e9…96adbacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…da3ebacked Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Jazz | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Jazz | 11c | 91.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.