TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Oilers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x889e…09e0backed Oilers46c22,523$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,360.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings53c16,442$8,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,733.1736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers46c14,325$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.411,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Kings60c9,895$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.3811441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Kings54c8,541$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Oilers46c8,500$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Oilers13c7,663$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.173040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers44c5,537$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.8392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Oilers40c5,382$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.1513845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa068…6b89backed Kings53c5,250$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bf…6f28backed Oilers47c5,250$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers6c5,028$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.796764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers2c5,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Kings54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30011145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings54c4,726$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings55c4,298$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.2816645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Kings54c4,131$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.662552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Kings54c3,900$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7948854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee63…07a4backed Oilers47c3,890$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers19c3,689$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9317448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Oilers47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers4c3,500$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13725555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers45c3,115$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.231,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Oilers43c2,721$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.2735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Kings55c2,444$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.647361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbed8…3af5backed Oilers33c2,371$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Kings60c2,335$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9341471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ed1…12a8backed Oilers46c2,260$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7a…ef68backed Kings54c2,260$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings54c2,250$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0351,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Kings56c2,220$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.642343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers46c2,178$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0026946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers45c2,100$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.989942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Oilers48c2,082$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.185843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers34c2,045$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c3…cd63backed Oilers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9520751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Kings55c1,971$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Oilers1c1,929$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8515261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Kings54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Oilers46c1,850$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Oilers46c1,850$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Oilers46c1,850$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Kings54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Kings54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa08f…87f3backed Oilers46c1,850$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8511145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad71…4c93backed Kings54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Kings59c1,706$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.25470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6727958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Oilers1c1,620$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kings55c1,537$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Kings54c1,518$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.281758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x014a…8aefbacked Oilers46c1,518$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.281030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Kings56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers47c1,479$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.3597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings76c1,052$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3237254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Kings55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4507454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Oilers16c963.1$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.62748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings58c956.9$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47b…bae9backed Oilers30c944.67$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kings54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9342751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698a…e498backed Oilers2c923.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Oilers37c913.75$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Kings56c866$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.042045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings54c835.96$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Kings60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.338959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…75f4backed Oilers45c829.37$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings54c792.78$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings54c777$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.423259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4b…d9edbacked Oilers5c727.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.441931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers40c708.33$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Oilers15c646.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.648425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae5…8eb3backed Oilers3c599.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings59c555$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5510739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers44c521.33$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Oilers2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Kings53c500$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23310546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Oilers47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers42c497.94$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers40c483.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings54c441.39$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0412955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers15c406.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16419548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8570…52b5backed Oilers47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Oilers44c399.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9926547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Oilers46c389.86$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.346956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Oilers46c388.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Kings54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3712556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Kings55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.649955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Oilers43c339.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.210627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Oilers28c339.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Oilers30c329.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Kings54c324.07$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.0713158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fa3…181bbacked Oilers48c323.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Oilers4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Kings54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.36848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.