TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Cardinals, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$613,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7b3…92f8backed Rangers60c164,264$98,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,598.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Cardinals41c97,438$39,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,949.6217652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cardinals39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Cardinals39c12,488$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.6511746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…41a9backed Cardinals51c7,882$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers61c7,822$4,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.681,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Rangers58c6,693$3,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.534564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals39c6,600$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5961,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Cardinals38c5,991$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.872416.7%4 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals43c5,471$2,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.9969249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals44c5,451$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.2715745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers79c5,285$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.5225551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals39c5,177$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.651,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals38c2,900$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09126453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Cardinals41c2,654$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals35c2,595$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Cardinals39c2,554$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.6716352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers59c2,345$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.0525550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Cardinals40c2,050$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8205648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Rangers59c1,733$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.516151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Cardinals23c1,667$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9812624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cardinals54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90024844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cardinals39c1,510$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.915553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Rangers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Cardinals39c1,488$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.322958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals38c1,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Cardinals26c1,263$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.993943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers53c1,254$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.012,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers61c1,191$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.972,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Cardinals16c1,185$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3912335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers53c1,121$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.3586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers59c1,104$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers66c1,068$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0440547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers61c999.94$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9833349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rangers67c967.8$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.372236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Rangers59c900$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers61c899.95$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9868656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals3c880.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cardinals30c851.13$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3431248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cardinals37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals41c767.42$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals14c735.93$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals3c699.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.255053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals4c687$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.098762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Rangers62c675.81$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8114150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals39c648.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe142…86d5backed Cardinals40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Rangers68c607.79$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.583554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Cardinals42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25220450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cardinals9c540$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Cardinals38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cardinals37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cardinals41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20091749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals41c426.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9925835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Rangers61c418.2$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.118349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Rangers55c361.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2913151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Cardinals42c358.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals40c305.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1438245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Cardinals40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Cardinals41c292.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.926538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals7c289.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers48c264.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.661,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers63c261.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals40c246.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Cardinals40c209.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.919233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals34c204.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Rangers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088146.9%38 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55b…d5ccbacked Rangers73c192.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.332744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals39c164.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6431145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8254…d431backed Rangers70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals37c141.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.275,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals37c139.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers60c136.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4454048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Cardinals53c132.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Cardinals39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Cardinals40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals37c124.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.942,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers65c122.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.251,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers64c117$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.964,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Cardinals41c111.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ab…790bbacked Rangers63c111$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.076256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rangers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4220448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Cardinals40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cardinals39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eca…4bc9backed Cardinals39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b2…9790backed Rangers60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3849450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Cardinals38c97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.271,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb0…8de9backed Rangers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Cardinals39c74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Cardinals55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc440…9b93backed Rangers72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Rangers60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6725452.8%134 W · 120 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers62c64.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7880680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.