NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2b706be52291a92d44a33c859751b4df00672391b58c5607fc5f7e8859a2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Pacers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $492,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Timberwolves | 54c | 55,972$30,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,303.4 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pacers | 52c | 30,063$15,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,501.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 39c | 24,827$9,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,154.97 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 75c | 20,914$15,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,604.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0851…5a31backed Pacers | 40c | 16,641$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Pacers | 32c | 13,903$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Timberwolves | 80c | 12,123$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,666.91 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 54c | 9,501$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.5 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 28c | 8,150$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 47c | 6,958$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.94 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Pacers | 19c | 5,770$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,674.08 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Timberwolves | 68c | 5,562$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.42 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 5,378$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Pacers | 26c | 5,220$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.07 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…be0ebacked Pacers | 39c | 5,030$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers | 22c | 4,821$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.43 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Pacers | 19c | 4,790$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 16c | 4,605$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.79 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Timberwolves | 76c | 4,589$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.76 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers | 34c | 4,509$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.55 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,409$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.15 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 25c | 3,947$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.93 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers | 26c | 3,892$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.89 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pacers | 19c | 3,149$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.75 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Pacers | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Timberwolves | 79c | 2,901$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.6 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pacers | 22c | 2,888$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.23 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…b71bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 2,721$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pacers | 24c | 2,600$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Pacers | 27c | 2,365$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.7 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 61c | 2,250$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,150$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers | 28c | 2,098$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.5 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pacers | 36c | 2,086$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.3 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 70c | 2,000$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.92 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Pacers | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,975$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 1,937$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Pacers | 25c | 1,794$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Pacers | 28c | 1,787$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.3 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…f3e9backed Pacers | 17c | 1,731$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers | 27c | 1,556$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 26c | 1,526$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.93 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pacers | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.95 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,373$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.49 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers | 25c | 1,350$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.5 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pacers | 35c | 1,332$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.18 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,323$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.96 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pacers | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,235$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.28 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Pacers | 78c | 1,213$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pacers | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 20c | 1,200$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,194$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.47 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 22c | 1,120$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.42 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,065$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.55 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,063$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,027$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers | 20c | 1,002$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…bdf1backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Pacers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9ce2backed Pacers | 24c | 999.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 74c | 996.77$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.93 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Pacers | 23c | 971.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.25 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…8b69backed Timberwolves | 66c | 911.67$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pacers | 24c | 900$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 900$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 894.34$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.91 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 3c | 850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers | 28c | 783.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers | 78c | 776.55$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Timberwolves | 71c | 739.17$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.12 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers | 23c | 732$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.13 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pacers | 27c | 727.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.26 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 716.02$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pacers | 40c | 697.63$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 24c | 673.75$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.05 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Pacers | 73c | 669.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers | 27c | 664.73$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 656$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.26 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…595fbacked Pacers | 27c | 646.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Pacers | 20c | 643.78$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 603.85$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 21c | 597.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.25 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Timberwolves | 72c | 586.3$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.21 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…ac98backed Timberwolves | 4c | 564.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Timberwolves | 29c | 545.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 23c | 543.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Timberwolves | 69c | 527.66$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.82 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 522.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 78c | 503.27$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.55 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Pacers | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.