Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Leicester end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4cb2cc0cb57f224cd8cb608c2f76aaeacdb93752e0270e47abd81a1dc79d908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca6…ca05backed No | 79c | 9,997$7,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…2e68backed Yes | 21c | 9,827$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 10c | 6,863$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.25 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Yes | 28c | 1,637$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Yes | 28c | 995.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 72c | 899.91$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.97 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 77c | 248.18$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 76c | 89.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked No | 79c | 73.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 62.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 77c | 35.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 79c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Leicester end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2025-04-26?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.