MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1f02f81379939fcdc97b5098e0b5b9700711fe44174c0300f3b3640c97f257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies | 40c | 96,792$38,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,533.48 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 61c | 50,000$30,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,700 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 39c | 43,844$17,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,012.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 64c | 42,743$27,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.4 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 64c | 35,267$22,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,872.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rockies | 7c | 23,103$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.89 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 8c | 19,559$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Marlins | 60c | 11,124$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.68 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Marlins | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 38c | 5,063$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.93 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Rockies | 38c | 5,013$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 42c | 4,665$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.71 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 62c | 3,791$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Marlins | 61c | 3,697$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.87 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Marlins | 62c | 3,405$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Marlins | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 6c | 2,523$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.61 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies | 1c | 1,760$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 60c | 1,685$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rockies | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Marlins | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 37c | 1,526$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rockies | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Marlins | 62c | 1,489$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 27c | 1,468$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 60c | 1,320$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 60c | 1,257$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 56c | 1,158$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.27 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies | 13c | 1,153$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies | 38c | 1,028$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 62c | 1,000$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Marlins | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 62c | 999$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 33c | 711.2$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Marlins | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rockies | 38c | 619$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Marlins | 49c | 615.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockies | 33c | 600$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Marlins | 62c | 595.16$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Marlins | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 38c | 520$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Marlins | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rockies | 26c | 480.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Marlins | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Marlins | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…e080backed Marlins | 77c | 434.91$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 39c | 378.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Marlins | 61c | 339.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Marlins | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Rockies | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Rockies | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Rockies | 10c | 252.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 18c | 252.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rockies | 40c | 243.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rockies | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Marlins | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Marlins | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Marlins | 61c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Marlins | 80c | 197.73$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Marlins | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…9520backed Marlins | 63c | 190.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies | 38c | 165.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Marlins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…2aa2backed Marlins | 63c | 160.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Marlins | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Marlins | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Marlins | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rockies | 26c | 119.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Marlins | 59c | 118.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rockies | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Marlins | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Rockies | 37c | 85.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Marlins | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Marlins | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…d9febacked Rockies | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e57abacked Marlins | 62c | 68.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Marlins | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Marlins | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f94…9a4abacked Rockies | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Marlins | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Marlins | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Marlins | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Marlins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Rockiesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- NRFI: Miami Marlins vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.