TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Ducks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Ducks27c247,672$65,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,737.332737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings75c173,023$129,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,939.3644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings73c37,861$27,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,256.3192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings72c35,328$25,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,025.881,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks25c25,788$6,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,507.636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Kings75c4,030$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.216645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings74c3,333$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.581,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Ducks24c3,048$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.4283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings74c3,034$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings74c3,020$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.7413845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks25c2,851$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings75c2,513$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.171,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kings75c2,436$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.3230549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c2,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings74c2,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings75c2,000$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings79c1,825$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.253,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Kings75c1,823$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.131957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings74c1,818$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.671,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kings75c1,629$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.369251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings72c1,463$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5413348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c2…7fe7backed Kings75c1,183$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks8c795.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6154418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Kings75c713.93$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4831753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks13c702.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Kings75c662$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.57361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings74c648$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kings74c627.09$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0429748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Ducks16c614.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10129319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kings73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16220649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Ducks17c600$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks24c547.41$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Kings73c534.23$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7819848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Kings76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ac…4f84backed Ducks25c484.56$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c98…74d5backed Kings76c477.63$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Ducks23c419$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3710627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Ducks17c400.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.09520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Kings74c349.97$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Ducks27c339.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.769064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3614012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Kings75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Ducks25c264$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc2…32eebacked Kings75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.52544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd447…f42cbacked Kings75c234.88$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Ducks26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b1…d772backed Ducks26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7b…3558backed Ducks26c147.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.442356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Ducks18c136.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.946956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Ducks26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Kings75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2535154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d37…a5f0backed Kings75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2566…95c7backed Ducks26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Ducks23c99.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1838744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Kings78c99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5113043.8%57 W · 73 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ducks26c96.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4660741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…ebd6backed Kings75c95.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc537…3172backed Ducks26c95.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.772445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Ducks17c90.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3158467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Kings73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8720942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings73c81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8760549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Ducks25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Kings76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67e…b635backed Kings75c78.13$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Ducks26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89b…d4a0backed Ducks26c74.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1028…3a85backed Kings75c73.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…a64ebacked Ducks26c71.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1cc…87e8backed Ducks23c71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…b4b9backed Kings75c70.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81a5…b52dbacked Kings75c69.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb0…30d3backed Kings75c69.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Ducks26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d0…2d67backed Kings75c69.19$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b8…e72dbacked Ducks28c68.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-77%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb0f…0444backed Ducks26c68.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Kings74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.579755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Kings75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…7a84backed Kings75c66.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdefd…6c3abacked Ducks26c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.642352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…126cbacked Kings75c63.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a7…3f78backed Kings75c63.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcbcc…e4b4backed Ducks26c62.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…6e81backed Ducks26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38bf…3c47backed Ducks26c61.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f2…776fbacked Ducks26c59.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.521030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ea…bf9cbacked Kings75c57.51$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…c4d4backed Kings75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe520…28b0backed Kings76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f94…9a4abacked Kings75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…9568backed Ducks26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Kings76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.