TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bb0…30d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$38
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$17.68
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$14.71
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.94
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.65
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$50.67
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+300%+$60
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 25 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.33
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.82
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.57
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19.61
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+150%+$37.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$22.3
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.