TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Hornets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets24c10,073$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.211,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets1c9,250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.78783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets10c7,500$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors80c7,365$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.1237448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets7c5,699$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors79c3,553$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets22c3,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets16c3,356$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors79c3,325$2,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.0877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Hornets18c3,225$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.514438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors77c2,648$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.9888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Hornets20c2,400$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors77c2,345$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets22c2,040$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hornets23c1,760$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors78c1,667$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6729643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Hornets23c1,500$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets8c1,435$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets21c1,300$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets1c1,300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8222…8b4ebacked Raptors78c1,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.634468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors79c1,239$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.951,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets10c1,223$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors80c1,090$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Hornets1c1,010$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2524423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Hornets14c892.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12517943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets2c798.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.645502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors80c794$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Hornets18c650$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hornets23c599.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.991,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors79c579.7$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.782,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors76c574.63$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.211,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Raptors77c537.32$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5833348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Hornets23c464.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5628341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets5c440$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Hornets23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec2…b36cbacked Hornets19c431.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets21c409.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0910428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Hornets18c377.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf136…a625backed Hornets19c357.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+67.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Hornets25c356.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets18c333$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f94…e34fbacked Hornets20c332.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Hornets9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2867911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors77c288.04$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Hornets19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3830243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f6…8c40backed Hornets23c195.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…9297backed Hornets23c186.09$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hornets19c180$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.248046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Hornets23c172.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407837.2%29 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Hornets21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hornets23c145.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors79c137.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Raptors76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5810246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe38c…1ddabacked Hornets23c130.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Raptors78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Raptors77c126.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5b…0e61backed Hornets24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…3917backed Hornets25c122.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hornets25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Hornets18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked Hornets25c108.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.184734%16 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Hornets23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e80…791fbacked Hornets24c101.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3870%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1f…3c49backed Raptors76c101.6$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4d…58bebacked Raptors76c101.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ed…4b88backed Hornets24c101.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Raptors76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2493036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Hornets24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Raptors78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b96…733cbacked Hornets24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04aa…d2d2backed Hornets24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Hornets18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Raptors79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfc…7784backed Hornets25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+83.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee6b…07d7backed Raptors76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Hornets18c99.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors78c99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ef…dc31backed Raptors77c89.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.543956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Raptors78c88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3614667.1%98 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f36…7e51backed Hornets24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-78%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…459cbacked Raptors76c85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+104%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets23c84.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b4…cec5backed Raptors80c80.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1513142%55 W · 76 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets18c80.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.536514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630a…8339backed Raptors77c75.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed Hornets24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Raptors77c71.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4327359%161 W · 112 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7d…36dabacked Raptors79c69.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ec…d6dbbacked Hornets23c69.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30b9…1308backed Raptors78c68.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…95a9backed Raptors78c67.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe9…296dbacked Raptors79c67.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ba…2ec7backed Hornets23c66.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.