Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7110b30da2182652b4ff814a50f1c09a8000716d8a517d0ed5bba10a12b26120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 1c | 109,947$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 16c | 33,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 80c | 18,823$14,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 15,282$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.7 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…b117backed Yes | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…8ae0backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cd…9367backed Yes | 18c | 9,999$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…a674backed Yes | 18c | 9,995$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed Yes | 18c | 9,994$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…c0d3backed Yes | 18c | 9,994$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 21c | 7,258$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 17c | 796$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 20c | 574.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes | 21c | 478.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 20c | 380$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 291 | 34.4%100 W · 191 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 22c | 249.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 21c | 230.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 33c | 212.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 6c | 188$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 21c | 139.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ae3ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked Yes | 21c | 85.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…6e9cbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…41ebbacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…30d3backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…f4dbbacked Yes | 20c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…fa82backed Yes | 20c | 59.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…5391backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…1b46backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887e…4b12backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…b99fbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 80c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?No won
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.