TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$549,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$628,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9a0…88eebacked No6c146,720$9,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,029.072755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x038d…d484backed No35c133,102$45,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,966.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes66c124,367$81,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,871.13748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No34c30,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.9112536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c27,401$17,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,084.297042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Yes66c22,640$14,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,697.61050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes67c15,900$10,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2471553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No5c10,637$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.322718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No23c10,194$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.2639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No33c10,154$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.740222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No38c7,773$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.6617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes65c6,500$4,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2753447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+144.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No31c6,111$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.2430754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes67c6,014$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.491735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes67c5,916$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.911723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No31c5,202$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5985731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes67c4,344$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.876955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Yes65c4,220$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.051225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No32c3,774$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.831258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa293…2919backed Yes71c3,513$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.561637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa703…ad40backed No34c3,500$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No10c3,230$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes67c2,700$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8911241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No33c2,656$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.8121037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes63c2,349$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.9815250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.734544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No30c2,121$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1710845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64012862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70e…cc0dbacked Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes68c1,758$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.228452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes67c1,642$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.795242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes69c1,559$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.126060%36 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f17…c521backed Yes65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes66c1,404$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.341643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes66c1,364$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.644835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No33c1,294$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.168638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes66c1,134$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.441040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Yes71c1,128$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes69c1,064$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.619645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1218…366bbacked Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.0wins+0.54per pick37cpaid+180.9%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3408840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No26c921.96$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa107…ec62backed No32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39b…67e6backed Yes68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb553…a77bbacked Yes68c875$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…1a2dbacked Yes68c830$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27213847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde93…bef4backed Yes67c778.93$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.051070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93b…7f3ebacked No32c775$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes72c770.83$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.837055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yes69c765.09$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.89944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b36…9cbcbacked No32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…395ebacked Yes67c749.18$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.71825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2981…d5bebacked Yes68c735.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yes69c707.02$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.186058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes65c699.99$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Yes50c698.03$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.523043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5295…d666backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…28b9backed No32c605$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes67c582.43$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes66c569.92$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.771346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes72c556.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.466170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1d…dc5ebacked No32c550$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Yes66c545.03$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes65c529.49$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.492552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes66c521.44$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.295038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3855…ee41backed Yes68c510$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed No41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb47…bfccbacked Yes68c490$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes65c470$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b6…0acebacked Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.552657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c435.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2525735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes57c409.41$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.413046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567f…7a1dbacked No32c365$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes69c361.89$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8917560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…f1cdbacked No32c360$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes66c347.82$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.262254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fe…95efbacked Yes66c334.32$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc258…447bbacked Yes66c334.26$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes65c318.22$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.022176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed No64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.94269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x702b…0bdabacked No32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9481…04c4backed No32c295$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…688fbacked Yes68c293.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.03580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+116.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No35c286.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes72c278.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.934969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes72c278.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.475567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes69c271.59$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.